India Plans Loan Guarantees to Shield Firms From Iran War Impact

New Delhi — India is preparing to offer sovereign guarantees on loans worth about $26.7 billion to support businesses hit by disruptions from the Middle East conflict, particularly small firms facing supply and cost pressures, two government sources said.

The scheme would provide government-backed guarantees to banks for lending over a four-year period, mirroring measures introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic to sustain credit flow to stressed sectors.

The guarantees are expected to cover up to 90% of loans of up to 1 billion rupees ($10.75 million), the sources said.The fiscal cost of the plan is estimated at 170 billion to 180 billion rupees ($1.83 billion to $1.94 billion), according to the sources, who declined to be identified as discussions are ongoing.

Indian businesses, including textile and glass manufacturers, have been affected by supply disruptions linked to the war involving Iran, while rising energy prices have added to cost pressures.

As the world’s third-largest oil importer, India remains particularly exposed to volatility stemming from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global energy shipments.The government is also grappling with broader macroeconomic risks, including the prospect of higher inflation and slower growth as fuel costs rise and supply chains tighten.

The proposed guarantees are intended to encourage banks to continue lending despite heightened risks, ensuring businesses can meet obligations and sustain operations during the crisis.

India deployed a similar credit guarantee programme in 2020 to support sectors such as travel and tourism during the pandemic, helping firms resume operations and manage debt burdens.