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PNB Confident Amid $1B Transition, Profit Growth

New Delhi — Punjab National Bank (PNB), one of India’s largest and most trusted state-owned lenders, has expressed confidence in its ability to smoothly transition to the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) new credit loss framework by 2031, even as it anticipates a financial impact of approximately 90 billion rupees ($1.03 billion).

Despite the shift, the bank’s leadership has assured stakeholders that its strong operational performance, healthy profitability, and sound capital base will help it absorb the change effectively without disruption to its growth trajectory.

Confident Outlook Amid Regulatory Transition

PNB Managing Director and CEO, Ashok Chandra, confirmed in an interview that the bank has already made preliminary assessments and is fully prepared for the transition.

“The impact comes to around 90 billion rupees,” Chandra said. “The bank has done a rough estimate as this new framework was already in the pipeline. I don’t see any further deviation.”

The RBI’s updated guidelines, released earlier this month, require Indian banks to adopt an Expected Credit Loss (ECL) model starting April 1, 2027.

Under this system, banks will proactively set aside funds to cover potential loan defaults, replacing the current model where provisions are made only after a default occurs.

The ECL framework aligns Indian banking practices more closely with international standards, making risk management more forward-looking and robust.

Strong Financial Foundation

PNB’s readiness for this transition is underpinned by its strong financial position. As of September 30, the bank reported a Capital to Risk-Weighted Assets Ratio (CRAR) of 17.19%, which is in line with the Indian commercial banking average of 17.3%, according to the RBI’s latest Financial Stability Report.

Even after factoring in the estimated 0.85 percentage point impact on its capital ratio due to the new provisions, PNB’s capital strength remains solid.

“Our internal accruals and operational profits will be sufficient to manage the transition,” Chandra affirmed. “PNB is well-poised to take care of all upcoming requirements. We see this as part of our natural growth and regulatory evolution.”

The CEO highlighted that the expected credit loss provisions will mainly apply to stage-two assets in PNB’s retail, agriculture, and small and medium enterprise (SME) portfolios.

These assets represent loans where repayments have been delayed but have not turned into non-performing accounts — a manageable category for a bank of PNB’s scale and resilience.

Profitability and Growth Momentum

Despite tightening regulations and a competitive banking landscape, PNB continues to deliver solid financial performance. The lender recently reported a net profit of 49.04 billion rupees for the second quarter, reflecting a 14% year-on-year increase.

The bank projects its 2026 fiscal year net profit to exceed 150 billion rupees, demonstrating continued operational efficiency and prudent risk management.

PNB’s consistent profitability has been driven by growth in retail lending, digital transformation, and a renewed focus on customer service and sustainable banking.

The institution has also strengthened its recovery mechanisms and tightened credit monitoring processes to minimize potential defaults — a move that will further cushion the bank against the upcoming ECL transition.

The introduction of the ECL framework marks a significant evolution for the Indian banking sector. By proactively estimating potential credit losses, banks like PNB will be better equipped to manage risks, ensure financial stability, and enhance investor confidence.

Experts believe PNB’s early acknowledgment of the framework’s financial implications demonstrates responsible governance and transparency — traits that are increasingly valued by regulators, investors, and customers alike.

The bank’s approach sets a positive precedent for the rest of the industry as it moves toward compliance with the new RBI standards.

Future-Ready and Resilient

As the country’s third-largest state-owned bank by market capitalization, PNB has been actively modernizing its operations to meet future challenges.

The bank’s focus on digital banking, financial inclusion, and green finance initiatives aligns with India’s vision for a sustainable and technology-driven financial ecosystem.

The transition to the ECL framework, though financially significant, is being viewed by PNB’s leadership as a long-term opportunity to strengthen its balance sheet and enhance transparency in credit risk assessment.

“Change brings opportunity,” Chandra noted. “This is a step forward for the entire banking industry, and we are ready for it.”

With a resilient capital position, growing profitability, and strategic foresight, Punjab National Bank stands well-positioned to navigate the evolving regulatory environment.

Its proactive stance and disciplined approach reaffirm its reputation as a stable and trustworthy financial institution dedicated to supporting India’s economic progress.