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	<title>services trade surplus India &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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		<title>India’s Trade Momentum Strengthens as Deficit Narrows and US Framework Deal Nears</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2025/12/60757.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:56:19 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; India’s external trade outlook showed renewed strength as the country’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to a five-month]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi </strong>&#8211; India’s external trade outlook showed renewed strength as the country’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to a five-month low in November.</p>



<p>This improvement reflects a combination of resilient exports, disciplined import management, and growing engagement with key global partners.</p>



<p>Official data indicated that the trade deficit declined sharply, outperforming market expectations and signaling stabilisation in external balances.</p>



<p>Lower imports of gold, crude oil, and coal played a significant role in easing pressure on the trade account. At the same time, India’s export performance showed encouraging signs, particularly in shipments to the United States.</p>



<p>Exports to the US rebounded strongly, reflecting sustained demand for Indian goods despite global trade headwinds. Commerce officials highlighted that Indian exporters have held their ground even amid tariff-related challenges.</p>



<p>This resilience underscores the competitiveness of Indian manufacturing and services in global markets. Overall merchandise exports rose noticeably in November compared to the previous month.</p>



<p>Imports declined substantially, reflecting both softer commodity prices and strategic moderation in non-essential purchases. The narrowing trade gap offers relief to policymakers navigating a complex global economic environment.</p>



<p>It also strengthens India’s macroeconomic fundamentals by reducing pressure on foreign exchange reserves. Government representatives confirmed that India and the United States are close to finalising a framework trade agreement.</p>



<p>Such an agreement is expected to lay the foundation for deeper economic cooperation between the two economies. Ongoing discussions focus on reducing reciprocal tariffs and addressing long-standing trade frictions.</p>



<p>Officials expressed optimism that constructive engagement could lead to an early conclusion of talks. Recent high-level meetings between Indian and US trade officials have reinforced momentum toward consensus.</p>



<p>These interactions signal a shared commitment to enhancing bilateral trade flows. The rebound in exports to the US follows a brief dip in earlier months.</p>



<p>November data showed strong month-on-month and year-on-year growth in shipments to America. The US continues to remain India’s largest single export destination.</p>



<p>This relationship is central to India’s broader trade diversification strategy. Domestic policy measures have also supported export performance during a challenging global phase.</p>



<p>Tax relief, labour reforms, and targeted export incentives have helped businesses remain competitive. The government has aimed to cushion exporters from external shocks while boosting productivity.</p>



<p>These steps are increasingly reflected in improved trade outcomes. Services trade continues to be a major strength for the Indian economy.</p>



<p>Preliminary estimates suggest a robust surplus in services trade for November. This surplus provides an important counterbalance to the merchandise trade deficit.</p>



<p>Sectors such as IT services, business process outsourcing, and professional services remain key drivers. Strong services exports enhance India’s position as a global knowledge and technology hub.</p>



<p>Together, merchandise and services trade trends point toward a more balanced external sector. India’s engagement with the US is also part of a broader strategy to strengthen global partnerships.</p>



<p>Trade discussions include market access, regulatory cooperation, and supply chain resilience. Both sides are exploring ways to unlock mutual benefits while respecting domestic priorities.</p>



<p>Improved trade relations could encourage higher investment flows and technology collaboration. Market observers note that a stable trade outlook supports investor confidence.</p>



<p>A narrowing deficit also provides greater policy space for growth-oriented initiatives. As global economic conditions remain uncertain, India’s recent trade performance offers reassurance.</p>



<p>Sustained export growth and controlled imports reflect prudent economic management. The focus ahead will be on maintaining momentum while expanding into new markets.</p>



<p>With constructive diplomacy and domestic reforms aligned, India’s trade trajectory appears increasingly positive.</p>
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		<title>India’s October Trade Deficit Hits New Record as Gold Imports Surge</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2025/11/59382.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 17 Nov 2025 13:36:03 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; India’s merchandise trade deficit rose to an all-time high in October, driven largely by a jump in]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi </strong>&#8211; India’s merchandise trade deficit rose to an all-time high in October, driven largely by a jump in gold imports and continued weakness in shipments to the United States.</p>



<p>Government data showed the deficit widening to $41.68 billion, marking the second straight month of significant pressure on the country’s external trade position.</p>



<p>The October shortfall surpasses the 13-month high recorded in September, when the deficit reached $32.15 billion.</p>



<p>The latest figures reflect persistent challenges in global demand, along with the effects of steep U.S. tariffs that have weighed heavily on key export categories.</p>



<p>Economists had expected a deficit of around $28.8 billion, making the final number much higher than anticipated.<br>Exports to the U.S., India’s largest trading partner, continued to feel the impact of tariff-driven disruptions during the second full month of the new trade measures.</p>



<p>U.S. tariffs of up to 50% on Indian goods, imposed at the end of August, have reduced demand for products such as textiles, shrimp, and gems and jewellery.<br>Shipments to the U.S. fell nearly 9% year-on-year in October, although they were slightly higher than in September.</p>



<p>Overall merchandise exports declined to $34.38 billion, down from $36.38 billion the previous month.<br>Meanwhile, imports rose sharply to $76.06 billion, compared with $68.53 billion in September, reflecting stronger buying of key commodities.</p>



<p>Gold imports surged to $14.7 billion, up significantly from $9.6 billion the month before, contributing heavily to the widening deficit.<br>Crude oil purchases also increased, reaching $14.8 billion, compared with $14 billion in September.</p>



<p>India’s Trade Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said discussions with the United States on tariff adjustments are ongoing, though no timeline has been set.<br>He indicated optimism that mutually agreeable tariff decisions could emerge from the negotiations.</p>



<p>Imports from the U.S. rose in October, increasing to $4.47 billion from $3.98 billion in the previous month. The shift suggests that Indian demand for U.S. goods remains resilient despite broader trade tensions.</p>



<p>Services trade estimates for October showed exports at $38.52 billion and imports at $18.64 billion, resulting in a surplus of $19.88 billion.<br>The services sector continues to provide crucial support to India’s overall trade balance, helping offset the merchandise shortfall.</p>



<p>India has also experienced one of the sharpest declines in container volumes to the United States among major trading partners.<br>Supply chain data indicates an 18.5% drop in shipments from India, compared with a 16.3% decline from China.</p>



<p>Several countries, including Japan, Germany, South Korea, Vietnam, and Indonesia, saw rising import volumes into the U.S. due to recent tariff revisions.<br>These shifts highlight changing trade patterns as global firms adjust supply chains in response to policy changes.</p>



<p>In response to increasing pressure on exporters, the Indian government and the Reserve Bank of India announced a series of support measures last week. These include incentives designed to boost export performance and relief on loan repayments for firms facing cash flow constraints.</p>



<p>S.C. Ralhan, President of the Federation of Indian Export Organisations, said the steps provide essential relief.<br>He noted that extended timelines for shipping goods and improved liquidity support will help exporters navigate challenging conditions.</p>



<p>As negotiations continue with Washington, policymakers remain focused on stabilising India’s export momentum.<br>However, with global demand uneven and gold imports still elevated, trade pressures may persist in the coming months.</p>
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