Market sentiment was further supported by expectations of stronger fourth quarter corporate results, improving liquidity conditions, and cautious optimism around oil price stability, all of which helped lift buying interest across banking and blue chip stocks.

The benchmark Saudi index advanced for a third straight session, led by gains in major lenders such as Al Rajhi Bank, as traders reacted positively to signals of regulatory easing and the potential for increased foreign capital inflows.

Analysts noted that the anticipated market opening could improve valuation depth, broaden investor participation, and enhance Saudi Arabia’s standing among emerging markets, even as concerns remain about global volatility and regional geopolitical risks.

Oil prices also played a supportive role, rebounding sharply in recent sessions amid heightened geopolitical pressure on Iran and supply related concerns, which helped reinforce confidence in energy linked revenues across the Gulf.

Despite this support, market participants remain selective, closely watching whether crude prices can sustain their recovery and continue to provide a stable earnings backdrop for listed companies.

In contrast, Qatar’s stock market edged lower as investors opted to lock in profits, with selling pressure seen across all major constituents including leading banking stocks.

Cautious sentiment persists in the Qatari market as investors weigh earnings prospects against regional uncertainty and the broader risk environment.

Outside the Gulf, Egypt’s equity market continued its strong upward momentum, with the main index touching a new record high supported by gains in real estate and diversified conglomerates.

The rally reflects sustained domestic investor interest, improving confidence in economic reforms, and expectations of resilient corporate performance despite global headwinds.

According to Kamco Invest’s monthly report, the MSCI GCC index climbed 4.9 percent in September, marking the biggest monthly gain in 21 months and closing near a three-year high. Saudi Arabia led the region with a 7.5 percent rise in the Tadawul All Share Index (TASI), reflecting investor enthusiasm following reforms aimed at enhancing market accessibility and promoting foreign investment.

Kuwait, Oman, and Bahrain also posted solid gains, while Dubai, Qatar, and Abu Dhabi experienced modest adjustments, reflecting ongoing market consolidation.

Saudi Arabia Leads the Rally with Broad Gains

Saudi equities staged a decisive turnaround after two consecutive months of declines. The TASI surged 5.1 percent on September 24 alone, its largest single-day gain since 2020, supported by multiple positive drivers.

The Capital Market Authority’s announcement to remove the 49 percent cap on foreign ownership of listed companies spurred significant foreign participation, particularly in the banking sector. At the same time, a 25-basis-point rate cut by the Saudi central bank, in line with the US Federal Reserve’s decision, enhanced liquidity and investor confidence.

Sectoral performance was notably strong. Financial services advanced 12.3 percent, while banks and insurance gained 10.7 percent and 10.2 percent, respectively. Major listed banks such as Al Rajhi Bank, Saudi National Bank, and Bank Albilad rose 14 percent, 11.9 percent, and 11.8 percent, reflecting renewed investor interest

Energy and telecom sectors added to the momentum, rising 3.8 percent and 5.8 percent. Companies such as the National Shipping Co. of Saudi Arabia and Ades Holding saw gains of 24.6 percent and 9.9 percent, while media players including MBC Group and Arabian Contracting Services advanced 23.3 percent and 17.7 percent.

Liquidity improved significantly, with total value traded rising 38.9 percent month-on-month to SR125.7 billion, while volumes reached 5.83 billion shares. Al Rajhi Bank, MBC Group, and Aramco led in trading value, reflecting strong market engagement.

Kuwait Maintains Year-to-Date Leadership

Kuwait extended its lead as the GCC’s top performer for 2025, with the All-Share Index rising 3.5 percent in September and 19.5 percent year-to-date. The Main 50 Index surged 6.7 percent, with the Main Market and Premier Market indices also posting strong gains.

Broad-based sectoral strength supported the performance, with healthcare up 18.3 percent, real estate 6.1 percent, and consumer discretionary 5.4 percent. Banks recorded a 3.1 percent increase, with seven of nine lenders advancing. Trading activity remained robust, with volumes rising 13.3 percent to 10.7 billion shares and value traded increasing 15.3 percent to KD 2.3 billion ($7.52 billion).

UAE Markets Show Selective Strength

Abu Dhabi’s FTSE ADX Index edged down slightly by 0.8 percent to 10,014.6 but maintained gains above the 10,000 mark for the third consecutive month. Sectoral performance was mixed, with strong contributions from utilities, telecommunications, and energy offsetting declines in consumer staples, industrials, and real estate.

Notable movers included GFH, up 22.9 percent, Union Insurance 15 percent, and ADNOC Gas 6.3 percent, following a 10-year LNG supply agreement with Hindustan Petroleum.

Dubai’s DFM General Index fell 3.7 percent in September, trimming its year-to-date return to 13.2 percent. While financials and real estate experienced some pressure, Dubai’s property market remained active, with real estate sales values rising 33.7 percent year-on-year, supported by both off-plan and secondary market transactions.

Positive Regional Outlook and Valuations

The GCC continues to display strong investor fundamentals, supported by policy clarity and sustained non-oil momentum. Valuation metrics show wide opportunities across the region: Dubai trading at 10.7 times trailing earnings with a 4.8 percent dividend yield, Abu Dhabi at 20.7 times with 2.3 percent yield, Saudi Arabia at 19.8 times with 3.5 percent yield, and Kuwait’s premier market at 17.2 times with 2.3 percent yield.

Aggregate GCC market capitalization reached approximately $4.04 trillion, with monthly traded value rebounding to $54.9 billion from $43.6 billion in August.

Smaller markets also contributed positively to the regional narrative. Oman’s MSX 30 rose 3 percent, touching an eight-year intraday high, while Bahrain’s All Share gained 1 percent, supported by strong financials and materials sectors. Qatar’s QE20 posted modest adjustments but maintained resilience, underscoring the GCC’s overall strength.

Investor Confidence Strengthened by Policy Reforms

The September rally reflects growing international confidence in GCC markets, driven by structural reforms in Saudi Arabia, accommodative monetary policies, and strong liquidity.

With Saudi Arabia’s market reforms, robust banking sector performance, and expanding foreign access, the region is increasingly seen as an attractive destination for long-term investment, offering both growth potential and stability.

As GCC markets continue to consolidate their gains, the combination of policy-driven growth, strategic reforms, and resilient economic fundamentals positions the region as a global investment hub, capable of attracting both institutional and retail investors seeking exposure to dynamic emerging markets.