In a written message read on Iranian state television, Khamenei said Iran’s scientific and military capabilities, including its nuclear and missile programs, formed part of the country’s sovereign identity and would be defended like its territorial integrity.

“Ninety million proud and honorable Iranians inside and outside the country regard all of Iran’s identity-based, spiritual, human, scientific, industrial and technological capacities from nanotechnology and biotechnology to nuclear and missile capabilities as national assets,” he said.

He added that Iranians would protect those capabilities “just as they protect the country’s waters, land and airspace.”Khamenei has led Iran since Feb. 28, following an airstrike that killed his father, former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, during the early phase of the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran.

In his statement, he also sharply criticized the U.S. military presence in the Gulf region, saying the only place Americans belonged in the Arabian Gulf was “at the bottom of its waters.”“By God’s help and power, the bright future of the Arabian Gulf region will be a future without America,” he said, adding that regional prosperity should be determined by neighboring states rather than outside powers.

His comments came as the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively under Iranian control following weeks of confrontation, severely disrupting global energy shipments through the strategic waterway that previously handled about one-fifth of world oil supply.

The remarks followed reports that Washington is advancing plans for an international naval coalition to reopen the strait and secure maritime transit after the conflict.According to a U.S. State Department cable seen by Reuters, Washington has invited partner countries to join a proposed coalition called the Maritime Freedom Construct (MFC), aimed at restoring shipping access and building what it described as a post-conflict maritime security framework for the Middle East.

“The MFC constitutes a critical first step in the establishment of a post-conflict maritime security architecture for the Middle East,” the cable said.France, Britain and other allied governments have discussed contributing to such an initiative but indicated they would only participate in efforts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz after active hostilities end.

Oil prices have remained volatile amid fears of prolonged disruption to Gulf shipping routes, with energy markets closely watching whether diplomatic efforts can reduce tensions between Washington and Tehran.

GIFT Nifty futures were trading at 24,002 points at 7:58 a.m. IST, indicating the benchmark Nifty 50 would open below Monday’s close of 24,092.70.The Nifty and the BSE Sensex had snapped a three-session losing streak on Monday, supported by a rebound in information technology stocks after sharp losses last week.

However, analysts said broader market momentum remained fragile due to persistent geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East.Investor concerns have centered on the Strait of Hormuz, a critical shipping route that handles about one-fifth of global oil flows. Continued disruptions and uncertainty around the conflict have pushed Brent crude prices close to $109 per barrel.

Higher oil prices are a significant risk for India, the world’s third-largest crude importer, as they raise inflation pressures, increase the import bill and can weigh on economic growth as well as corporate profitability.

Efforts to end the Iran conflict appeared stalled after a U.S. official said on Monday that President Donald Trump was dissatisfied with Tehran’s latest proposal to resolve the war.Back in domestic markets, foreign portfolio investors sold Indian equities worth 11.51 billion rupees ($122.2 million) on Monday, extending their selling streak to a sixth consecutive session.

Domestic institutional investors remained net buyers for a third straight day, purchasing shares worth 41.24 billion rupees and helping cushion broader market declines.Among individual stocks, UltraTech Cement, India’s largest cement producer by capacity, is expected to remain in focus after reporting quarterly profit above analyst estimates, supported by stronger demand and favorable weather conditions for construction activity.

State-owned Coal India also posted better-than-expected March-quarter earnings, helped by higher coal prices and stronger demand.SBI Cards and Payment Services reported a 14% year-on-year increase in quarterly profit, adding to investor focus on earnings-driven moves across sectors.

Market participants are expected to remain cautious in the near term, balancing domestic earnings momentum against external risks from energy prices, global inflation concerns and sustained foreign capital outflows.

Companies producing items such as plush toys, footwear, apparel and household goods say the effects of tighter oil markets are already filtering through supply chains, with suppliers raising prices for key inputs derived from petroleum.

Executives report early signs of cost inflation that could eventually be passed on to consumers if disruptions persist.Aleni Brands, a Florida-based manufacturer of soft toys made from polyester and acrylic fibers, said its Chinese suppliers increased material costs by 10% to 15% within weeks of the conflict’s escalation.

Chief Executive Ricardo Venegas said the company is absorbing higher costs for now but may raise prices in 2027 if conditions persist.Petrochemicals derived from oil and natural gas are used in more than 6,000 consumer products, according to the US Department of Energy, including items such as lipstick, pajamas, detergents, synthetic fabrics and medical supplies.

While the majority of crude oil is used as fuel, a significant portion is refined into chemical compounds that underpin modern manufacturing.Industry experts say crude oil, composed primarily of hydrocarbons, is processed into core petrochemicals such as ethylene, propylene and benzene, which form the basis of plastics, nylon and polyester.

These materials are widely used across sectors ranging from textiles to electronics and healthcare.Consultants note that material costs represent a substantial share of manufacturing expenses.

Andrew Walberer, a partner at Kearney, said raw materials can account for up to 30% of production costs for products such as garments, amplifying the impact of commodity price swings.

Trade groups warn that sustained oil prices above $90 per barrel could accelerate inflationary pressures across supply chains. The Footwear Distributors and Retailers of America estimates that petrochemical-based materials make up roughly 70% of synthetic footwear, with oil price fluctuations directly influencing around 30% of those costs.

The group projects retail shoe prices could rise by 1.5% to 3% in the coming months.Manufacturers are also adjusting procurement strategies. Rinseroo, which produces portable washing attachments using petroleum-based components such as polyvinyl chloride, said it increased its order volumes from China after being warned of a potential 30% cost increase.

Founder Lisa Lane said the company is exploring cost-cutting measures while delaying further price hikes after earlier increases linked to tariffs.In the healthcare sector, Gentell said it plans to raise prices by about 15% as costs for petrochemical-based adhesives and energy rise.

Chief Executive David Navazio estimated overall company expenses have increased by roughly 20%.Analysts say the broader economic impact of the conflict is already visible in higher fuel prices, which are feeding into transportation and logistics costs.

This is pushing up prices for goods moved by diesel-powered freight networks, as well as air travel costs due to rising jet fuel prices.

With supply disruptions now extending into their second month, industry participants say prolonged instability could lead to sustained cost pressures across global manufacturing, particularly for products reliant on synthetic materials and plastic-based components.

A Pakistani source involved in the negotiations said discussions were “on track” for Wednesday, despite earlier indications from Iran that it might not attend. U.S. President Donald Trump could join the talks either in person or virtually if an agreement is reached, the source added.

U.S. Vice President JD Vance is expected to travel to Pakistan for the переговоры, according to media reports, while Iranian officials said Tehran was “positively reviewing” whether to send a delegation, without confirming participation.

The diplomatic push comes as a two-week ceasefire in the conflict, which began on February 28, nears its end. A Pakistani source said the truce is expected to expire late Wednesday U.S. time.Financial markets reacted to signs of renewed diplomacy, with oil prices falling more than $1 and equities rising in early Asian trading amid expectations that talks could resume.

Brent crude traded near $94 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell below $88.Tensions remain elevated, however, following disputes over the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports and the recent interception of an Iranian vessel.

Tehran condemned the seizure and warned Washington would bear responsibility for any escalation.Iranian officials also reiterated that they would not negotiate under pressure. Senior figures, including Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf, accused Washington of attempting to force concessions through economic and military pressure.

Washington has said it seeks an agreement that would prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons while stabilizing energy markets. Tehran, for its part, is seeking relief from sanctions and an end to hostilities without compromising its nuclear program.

The strategic importance of the Strait of Hormuz remains central to the negotiations, as the waterway handles a significant share of global oil and gas shipments and has been affected by restrictions imposed during the conflict.

Pakistan, acting as a mediator, has deployed nearly 20,000 security personnel in Islamabad ahead of the potential talks, underscoring the high stakes and security concerns surrounding the negotiations.

Brent crude futures rose about 7% in early Asian trading to $96.85 a barrel, while S&P 500 futures fell roughly 0.9%, reflecting a shift toward risk aversion among investors. Currency markets also reacted, with the euro easing 0.3% to $1.1735 and the Japanese yen weakening about 0.2% to 158.95 per dollar.

The moves followed conflicting signals on diplomacy after Iran rejected new peace talks with the United States, according to state media, hours after U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington would pursue negotiations while warning of further military action if Tehran refused its terms.

Market sentiment was further pressured by rising tensions at sea after the United States said it had seized an Iranian cargo vessel attempting to breach its blockade, adding to uncertainty around energy supply routes.

The renewed closure of the Strait of Hormuz a key transit corridor for global oil and gas shipments — reversed sharp gains in equities and bonds recorded on Friday, when Iran’s brief reopening of the passage had fueled hopes of de-escalation and sent oil prices lower.

Analysts said markets are recalibrating expectations after what some viewed as an overly optimistic rally. Michael Brown, senior research strategist at Pepperstone, said investors were unwinding positions as geopolitical risks resurfaced, though underlying expectations of continued dialogue between the two sides remain a moderating factor.

“If it is confirmed that talks will not proceed, markets could shift more decisively into risk-off mode,” Brown said, noting that much of Friday’s bond rally could reverse under sustained uncertainty.Global equities had rallied last week, with Wall Street indexes reaching record highs, supported by easing oil prices and expectations of strong corporate earnings.

Bond yields also declined, with the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield falling to its lowest level since mid-March.The U.S. dollar, which had weakened in recent sessions as safe-haven demand eased, edged higher on Monday, with the dollar index up around 0.2% in early trading.

Analysts cautioned that recent market moves suggest heightened volatility ahead. Marc Chandler of Bannockburn Capital Markets noted that the Nasdaq’s extended rally and the dollar’s recent declines indicated markets may have been pricing in a more optimistic scenario than current geopolitical conditions support.

Investors are now closely monitoring developments in the Iran conflict and any signals on diplomatic engagement, as well as upcoming corporate earnings, for direction in global markets.

The selloff follows a sharp rise in global oil prices toward $100 a barrel, intensifying pressure on Thailand, which relies on the Middle East for nearly half of its oil and gas imports, according to Krungsri Research.

Data showed foreign investors were net sellers of $823 million in Thai equities in March, while bond outflows reached $705 million, marking the largest combined outflow since October 2024. The reversal came after a brief resurgence in inflows earlier this year, including $1.7 billion in equity purchases in February.

Investor optimism had been buoyed by the election of Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul, whose victory raised expectations of political stability and economic reform.

However, the outbreak of the Iran conflict at the end of February triggered a rapid reassessment of risk.Analysts say Thailand faces a more acute challenge than many regional peers due to its economic structure and policy constraints.

The economy had already been struggling, with growth of 2.4% last year and a prolonged period of deflation that prompted a rate cut by the central bank in February.“The risk remains that higher fuel costs hit consumption and disrupt exports and tourism,” said Daniel Tan, a portfolio manager at Grasshopper Asset Management, highlighting concerns about key growth drivers.

Thailand’s heavy reliance on natural gas, which accounts for more than half of its power generation, adds to its exposure. Rising liquefied natural gas imports are expected to further increase costs as energy markets tighten.

The Thai baht has weakened nearly 3% since the conflict began, though it has recovered some ground following a recent ceasefire. Analysts say the currency is acting as a key adjustment mechanism, helping absorb external shocks.

Market participants also point to limited policy flexibility. With public debt nearing the government’s self-imposed ceiling of 70% of gross domestic product, fiscal space is constrained, while monetary policy faces a trade-off between supporting growth and containing inflation.

“There’s a broad consensus among investors that Thailand is in a policy bind,” said Gary Tan of Allspring Global Investments, noting that the central bank has limited room to tighten or ease policy without adverse consequences.

Inflation, which had been contracting earlier this year, is now projected to rise as much as 3.5% depending on how the conflict evolves, marking a sharp shift in the economic outlook.

While a temporary ceasefire has supported a rebound in Thai equities and the baht, analysts caution that prolonged high energy prices could further weigh on growth, consumption and the external balance.

IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said that while March deliveries largely reflected cargoes loaded before the crisis escalated, the situation has shifted significantly. “During the month of April, nothing has been loaded,” he told reporters following meetings at the International Monetary Fund, adding that prolonged disruption would intensify market pressures.

Birol said the agency is tracking damage to energy infrastructure across the region, noting that more than a third of over 80 affected facilities have sustained severe damage. He described the situation as a major energy security challenge with global implications, warning that no country would be insulated from the fallout.

IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said there is an urgent need to assess the scale of economic impact stemming from infrastructure losses tied to the conflict.World Bank President Ajay Banga said the institution is preparing for multiple scenarios depending on the duration and intensity of hostilities, including expanded financial support.

The IMF has indicated it can make up to $50 billion available, while the World Bank has outlined potential financing of up to $25 billion, with the possibility of increasing total support to $60 billion over six months if conditions worsen.

The conflict, triggered by U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran beginning February 28, has disrupted flows through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global oil shipments. Iran’s actions to impede maritime traffic, followed by a U.S. naval blockade, have heightened concerns over supply constraints and price volatility.

Although a two-week ceasefire was agreed last week to enable negotiations, talks in Islamabad failed to produce a breakthrough, raising uncertainty over whether the truce will hold.

International mediators, including Pakistan and Qatar, have urged both sides to maintain the ceasefire, while UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres called for the restoration of freedom of navigation in the region.

In a post on social media, Trump said U.S. naval forces would block “any and all ships” attempting to enter or leave the waterway, which carries roughly 20% of global oil supplies and is central to international energy markets.

He added that the Navy had been instructed to “seek and interdict every vessel in international waters” that had paid a toll to Iran, describing such payments as illegal and warning that affected ships would not be granted safe passage.

The announcement came shortly after U.S. officials ended negotiations with Iran in Pakistan without reaching an agreement, prompting Washington to escalate efforts to curtail Tehran’s economic leverage derived from control over the strategic shipping lane.

Trump said Iran’s nuclear ambitions remained a key obstacle to resolving the conflict and signaled readiness for further military action. “At an appropriate moment, we are fully ‘locked and loaded,’” he wrote, adding that U.S. forces would “finish” the remaining aspects of the war.

The Strait of Hormuz is a critical chokepoint for global energy supplies, and any disruption to shipping through the narrow passage has the potential to impact oil prices and international trade flows.

No immediate response from Iranian authorities was reported.

The Liberia-flagged Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) Serifos and China-flagged VLCCs Cospearl Lake and He Rong Hai transited via a designated passage that bypasses Iran’s Larak Island, according to data from LSEG.

Each vessel has the capacity to carry around 2 million barrels of oil.The Strait of Hormuz, through which about one-fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies pass, had been effectively blocked by Iran since the outbreak of conflict in late February, contributing to supply disruptions and a sharp rise in oil prices.

Serifos, chartered by Thailand’s state energy firm PTT, is carrying crude loaded from Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates and is expected to arrive at Malaysia’s Malacca port on April 21, according to LSEG and Kpler data. It is among several vessels for which Malaysia had sought clearance from Iran to transit the strait, sources said.

Cospearl Lake, carrying Iraqi crude, is scheduled to reach Zhoushan port in eastern China on May 1, while the discharge destination for He Rong Hai, which is transporting Saudi oil, remains unclear. Both vessels are chartered by Unipec, the trading arm of Chinese energy major Sinopec.

Shipping data also showed that hundreds of tankers remain stranded in the Gulf awaiting passage during the limited ceasefire window, underscoring continued constraints on maritime traffic.At the same time, three empty tankers Mombasa B, Agios Fanourios I and Shalamar were navigating the strait to enter the Gulf and load crude.

One of them signaled plans to load Basrah oil in Iraq for delivery to Vietnam.Industry sources and companies involved did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The partial resumption of tanker movement highlights the critical role of the Strait of Hormuz in global energy flows and the sensitivity of oil markets to geopolitical developments in the region.

Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said it was “imperative” that both parties maintain their ceasefire commitments, adding that Islamabad would continue facilitating dialogue between Washington and Tehran following the inconclusive talks.

U.S. Vice President JD Vance, who led the American delegation, said the absence of a deal was “bad news for Iran much more than it’s bad news for the United States,” reiterating Washington’s demand for a firm commitment from Tehran not to pursue nuclear weapons capability.

He said the United States had made its “red lines” clear, including preventing Iran from acquiring both nuclear weapons and the means to rapidly develop them.

Iranian officials rejected the U.S. position, with state-linked Tasnim news agency reporting that “excessive” American demands had hindered progress. Tehran signaled that discussions would continue, with technical teams expected to exchange documents in follow-up engagements.

Iran’s parliamentary speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said the U.S. had failed to build trust during the talks despite what he described as “forward-looking” proposals from the Iranian side. He emphasized longstanding skepticism rooted in past negotiations, saying Washington must demonstrate credibility before progress can be made.

Iran’s foreign ministry also downplayed the outcome, stating that no agreement had been expected in a single session and expressing confidence that diplomatic contacts would continue with Pakistan and other regional actors.

Former Iranian foreign minister Mohammad Javad Zarif attributed the breakdown to what he called U.S. attempts to “dictate” terms, warning that negotiations with Iran would not succeed under unilateral conditions.

The Islamabad meeting marked the highest-level direct engagement between the United States and Iran in more than a decade and the most senior talks since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.

The discussions were aimed at halting a conflict that began over six weeks ago and has driven up global oil prices while threatening key maritime routes.Central to the negotiations was the Strait of Hormuz, a critical chokepoint for roughly one-fifth of global energy supplies.

The U.S. military said it was preparing to ensure safe navigation through the waterway, including mine-clearing operations, while Iranian state media denied any U.S. naval transit in the area.

Tehran has demanded control over the strait, war reparations, and broader ceasefire arrangements extending to regional theaters including Lebanon. U.S. officials have focused on securing freedom of navigation and curbing Iran’s nuclear enrichment capabilities.

The talks took place under tight security in Islamabad, where thousands of paramilitary forces were deployed. Pakistani officials described fluctuating tensions during the discussions, with “mood swings” and intermittent progress reported by sources familiar with the negotiations.

The Iranian delegation, which arrived dressed in black to mourn those killed in the conflict, also raised concerns about a U.S. airstrike on a school near a military compound, an incident the Pentagon has said is under investigation.

Despite the impasse, analysts noted the seniority and size of the Iranian delegation as an indication of Tehran’s willingness to engage, even as deep mistrust continues to define the diplomatic landscape.