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	<title>India economic growth &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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	<title>India economic growth &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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	<item>
		<title>Earnings Momentum and Policy Tailwinds Set to Power Indian Equities into a Stronger 2026</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2026/01/61425.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Dec 2025 21:19:02 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=61425</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mumbai &#8211; Indian equity markets are entering 2026 with renewed optimism, as improving earnings visibility and supportive policy measures set]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p><strong>Mumbai</strong> &#8211; Indian equity markets are entering 2026 with renewed optimism, as improving earnings visibility and supportive policy measures set the stage for stronger performance after a year of relative underperformance.</p>



<p>Despite global headwinds in 2025, India’s benchmark indices continued their long-term growth streak, reflecting the resilience of the domestic economy and investor confidence.</p>



<p>The Nifty 50 and Sensex delivered gains of over 10% and 9% respectively in 2025, marking the tenth consecutive year of annual advances and underscoring India’s consistency as an investment destination.</p>



<p>While these returns lagged several emerging and Asian peers, analysts see this divergence as creating attractive entry points rather than signalling structural weakness.</p>



<p>Market participants now expect Indian equities to regain momentum in 2026, driven by a combination of stronger corporate earnings, easing financial conditions, and improving global risk appetite.</p>



<p>Policy support has played a crucial role in stabilising sentiment, with tax relief measures and interest rate reductions providing a boost to consumption and investment activity.</p>



<p>The Reserve Bank of India’s liquidity initiatives have further strengthened confidence, particularly within the financial sector, which remains central to India’s growth story.</p>



<p>Large domestic inflows have continued to act as a stabilising force, effectively absorbing record foreign outflows and cushioning markets from excessive volatility.</p>



<p>Equity mutual fund investments and broader institutional participation highlight the depth and maturity of India’s domestic capital base.</p>



<p>Volatility indicators remained subdued through much of 2025, reflecting earnings resilience and a stable macroeconomic environment even amid global uncertainty.</p>



<p>Looking ahead, brokerage estimates suggest meaningful upside for benchmark indices by the end of 2026, supported by reasonable valuations and improving profitability trends.</p>



<p>Large-cap stocks are increasingly seen as attractively priced, with valuation premiums relative to global peers dipping below long-term averages.</p>



<p>This valuation reset is encouraging selective foreign interest and reinforcing confidence among long-term domestic investors.</p>



<p>Analysts expect market performance in 2026 to be more selective, with a clear preference emerging for fundamentally strong companies and sectors.</p>



<p>Financial stocks are widely viewed as a key driver of future gains, supported by expectations of stronger credit growth, balance sheet health, and ongoing reform momentum.</p>



<p>Automobile companies are also positioned well, benefiting from tax incentives, lower borrowing costs, and improving demand across urban and rural markets.</p>



<p>The metals sector continues to draw attention on the back of improving global demand signals and expectations of accommodative monetary conditions in major economies.</p>



<p>At the same time, technology stocks face near-term challenges from subdued overseas spending, but long-term prospects remain intact given India’s digital capabilities.</p>



<p>Market experts caution that smaller companies may experience continued pressure, as elevated valuations and tighter liquidity conditions favor quality over speculation.</p>



<p>Overall, the outlook for Indian equities in 2026 is defined by cautious optimism, with policy support, earnings growth, and domestic participation forming a strong foundation.</p>



<p>As valuations normalize and profitability improves, India’s equity markets are well positioned to reclaim leadership among emerging economies and deliver sustainable returns.</p>
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		<title>India’s Economic Momentum Remains Strong as Urban Consumption Drives November Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/12/61007.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Dec 2025 19:36:41 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=61007</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mumbai &#8211; India’s economic growth continued to demonstrate resilience in November, supported by steady urban consumption and sustained private demand]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p><strong>Mumbai</strong> &#8211; India’s economic growth continued to demonstrate resilience in November, supported by steady urban consumption and sustained private demand that helped maintain positive momentum beyond the festive season.</p>



<p>Recent assessments indicate that consumer spending in cities remained robust, reflecting rising confidence among households and consistent purchasing activity across goods and services.</p>



<p>High-frequency indicators pointed to stable economic performance in the post-festival period, suggesting that demand was not limited to seasonal factors but rooted in broader structural strength.</p>



<p>Urban demand emerged as a key driver, benefiting from improving employment prospects, higher disposable incomes, and a supportive policy environment aimed at sustaining consumption-led growth.</p>



<p>India’s strong expansion in the July–September quarter reinforced optimism, marking one of the fastest growth phases in recent quarters despite continued global trade uncertainties.</p>



<p>The economy’s ability to perform well amid external pressures highlighted the effectiveness of coordinated fiscal, monetary, and regulatory measures adopted over the year.</p>



<p>Targeted tax reductions on a wide range of consumer goods earlier in the year played a meaningful role in encouraging household spending and easing cost pressures for consumers.</p>



<p>Lower taxes on everyday products and automobiles boosted affordability, translating into higher sales volumes and reinforcing domestic demand at a crucial time.</p>



<p>Monetary policy support further strengthened growth conditions, with cumulative interest rate cuts improving credit availability for businesses and consumers alike.</p>



<p>Lower borrowing costs encouraged investment activity and consumer financing, creating a favorable environment for sustained economic expansion across multiple sectors.</p>



<p>Benign inflation trends provided policymakers with sufficient room to prioritize growth, ensuring that price stability and economic momentum advanced together.</p>



<p>Inflation levels remained well within comfort zones, offering reassurance that demand growth was not leading to destabilizing price pressures.</p>



<p>Urban and rural inflation both edged higher in November, yet overall levels stayed comfortably below medium-term targets, reflecting balanced demand conditions.</p>



<p>The gradual normalization of rural prices also suggested improving income conditions and consumption patterns beyond major urban centers.</p>



<p>Revised growth projections reflected growing confidence in India’s economic outlook, supported by resilient demand, improved policy transmission, and stable macroeconomic fundamentals.</p>



<p>A higher full-year growth forecast underscored expectations that domestic demand would continue to offset global headwinds and support overall economic stability.</p>



<p>While near-term growth projections for early next year were slightly moderated, the outlook remained constructive, signaling a soft landing rather than a slowdown.</p>



<p>Strong urban consumption trends, combined with improving business sentiment, indicated that India’s growth drivers remained broad-based and sustainable.</p>



<p>The continued focus on coordinated policymaking reinforced investor confidence and strengthened the economy’s ability to adapt to evolving global conditions.</p>



<p>Overall, India’s November performance highlighted a resilient growth trajectory, anchored by domestic demand, supportive policies, and a stable inflation environment that together point toward sustained economic strength.</p>
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		<title>RBI Signals Prolonged Low-Rate Era to Support Growth and Stability</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/12/60870.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 17 Dec 2025 16:27:44 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=60870</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Mumbai &#8211; India’s monetary policy outlook is entering a phase of continuity and confidence, with signals pointing toward interest rates]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<p><strong>Mumbai</strong> &#8211; India’s monetary policy outlook is entering a phase of continuity and confidence, with signals pointing toward interest rates remaining supportive for an extended period.</p>



<p>This approach reflects the central bank’s focus on sustaining economic momentum while managing global uncertainties with measured optimism.</p>



<p>Low interest rates are widely seen as a catalyst for investment, consumption, and credit expansion, particularly in a fast-growing economy like India.</p>



<p>By maintaining an accommodative stance, policymakers aim to create conditions that encourage businesses to plan, expand, and hire with confidence.</p>



<p>The Reserve Bank of India’s projections underline a belief that inflation dynamics and growth trends allow room for sustained policy support.</p>



<p>Such guidance reassures markets that stability, rather than abrupt tightening, will shape the near- to medium-term policy environment.</p>



<p>India’s recent economic performance has reinforced this confidence, with growth outcomes exceeding expectations in key quarters.</p>



<p>Stronger-than-anticipated expansion highlights the underlying resilience of domestic demand, manufacturing, and services activity.</p>



<p>Policymakers have acknowledged the need to refine forecasting models, a move that signals transparency and adaptability in decision-making.</p>



<p>This openness strengthens credibility and reinforces trust between the central bank, investors, and the wider public.</p>



<p>Trade negotiations underway with global partners are viewed as an upside factor for future growth.</p>



<p>If successfully concluded, these agreements could further boost output, exports, and investor sentiment across multiple sectors.</p>



<p>Lower borrowing costs are especially beneficial for small and medium enterprises, which form the backbone of India’s employment landscape.</p>



<p>Easier access to credit can accelerate innovation, productivity, and regional development, amplifying the benefits of accommodative policy.</p>



<p>The central bank’s recent liquidity measures also reflect a proactive approach to ensuring smooth transmission of policy decisions.</p>



<p>Adequate liquidity supports banks in meeting credit demand and strengthens the overall financial system.</p>



<p>Despite external pressures from global trade dynamics, India’s policy framework continues to emphasize balance and foresight.</p>



<p>Rather than reacting sharply to short-term shocks, authorities are prioritizing long-term stability and sustainable expansion.</p>



<p>Currency movements and trade headwinds are being addressed through coordinated fiscal and monetary strategies.</p>



<p>This integrated approach helps cushion the economy while preserving competitiveness in international markets.</p>



<p>India’s position as the world’s fifth-largest economy adds weight to its policy signals, often influencing broader emerging market sentiment.</p>



<p>Clear communication from the central bank reduces uncertainty and supports informed decision-making across financial markets.</p>



<p>For households, a low-rate environment can translate into more affordable loans for housing, education, and consumption.</p>



<p>This, in turn, feeds into stronger domestic demand, reinforcing growth from within.</p>



<p>Investors have responded positively to signals of continuity, viewing them as a sign of policy maturity.</p>



<p>Long-term capital typically favors economies where policy direction is predictable and growth-oriented.</p>



<p>As global conditions evolve, India’s emphasis on a “goldilocks” balance of growth and stability remains central to its strategy.</p>



<p>Measured easing, combined with vigilance on inflation and financial stability, defines this calibrated approach.</p>



<p>Looking ahead, the low-rate environment is expected to support India’s ambitions in infrastructure, manufacturing, and digital transformation.</p>



<p>These priorities align with broader development goals and reinforce confidence in the country’s economic trajectory.</p>



<p>Overall, the central bank’s guidance reflects optimism grounded in data, reform momentum, and institutional strength.</p>



<p>It signals a commitment to nurturing growth while navigating challenges with prudence and clarity.</p>
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		<title>India’s Trade Momentum Strengthens as Deficit Narrows and US Framework Deal Nears</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/12/60757.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 15 Dec 2025 12:56:19 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=60757</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; India’s external trade outlook showed renewed strength as the country’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to a five-month]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi </strong>&#8211; India’s external trade outlook showed renewed strength as the country’s merchandise trade deficit narrowed to a five-month low in November.</p>



<p>This improvement reflects a combination of resilient exports, disciplined import management, and growing engagement with key global partners.</p>



<p>Official data indicated that the trade deficit declined sharply, outperforming market expectations and signaling stabilisation in external balances.</p>



<p>Lower imports of gold, crude oil, and coal played a significant role in easing pressure on the trade account. At the same time, India’s export performance showed encouraging signs, particularly in shipments to the United States.</p>



<p>Exports to the US rebounded strongly, reflecting sustained demand for Indian goods despite global trade headwinds. Commerce officials highlighted that Indian exporters have held their ground even amid tariff-related challenges.</p>



<p>This resilience underscores the competitiveness of Indian manufacturing and services in global markets. Overall merchandise exports rose noticeably in November compared to the previous month.</p>



<p>Imports declined substantially, reflecting both softer commodity prices and strategic moderation in non-essential purchases. The narrowing trade gap offers relief to policymakers navigating a complex global economic environment.</p>



<p>It also strengthens India’s macroeconomic fundamentals by reducing pressure on foreign exchange reserves. Government representatives confirmed that India and the United States are close to finalising a framework trade agreement.</p>



<p>Such an agreement is expected to lay the foundation for deeper economic cooperation between the two economies. Ongoing discussions focus on reducing reciprocal tariffs and addressing long-standing trade frictions.</p>



<p>Officials expressed optimism that constructive engagement could lead to an early conclusion of talks. Recent high-level meetings between Indian and US trade officials have reinforced momentum toward consensus.</p>



<p>These interactions signal a shared commitment to enhancing bilateral trade flows. The rebound in exports to the US follows a brief dip in earlier months.</p>



<p>November data showed strong month-on-month and year-on-year growth in shipments to America. The US continues to remain India’s largest single export destination.</p>



<p>This relationship is central to India’s broader trade diversification strategy. Domestic policy measures have also supported export performance during a challenging global phase.</p>



<p>Tax relief, labour reforms, and targeted export incentives have helped businesses remain competitive. The government has aimed to cushion exporters from external shocks while boosting productivity.</p>



<p>These steps are increasingly reflected in improved trade outcomes. Services trade continues to be a major strength for the Indian economy.</p>



<p>Preliminary estimates suggest a robust surplus in services trade for November. This surplus provides an important counterbalance to the merchandise trade deficit.</p>



<p>Sectors such as IT services, business process outsourcing, and professional services remain key drivers. Strong services exports enhance India’s position as a global knowledge and technology hub.</p>



<p>Together, merchandise and services trade trends point toward a more balanced external sector. India’s engagement with the US is also part of a broader strategy to strengthen global partnerships.</p>



<p>Trade discussions include market access, regulatory cooperation, and supply chain resilience. Both sides are exploring ways to unlock mutual benefits while respecting domestic priorities.</p>



<p>Improved trade relations could encourage higher investment flows and technology collaboration. Market observers note that a stable trade outlook supports investor confidence.</p>



<p>A narrowing deficit also provides greater policy space for growth-oriented initiatives. As global economic conditions remain uncertain, India’s recent trade performance offers reassurance.</p>



<p>Sustained export growth and controlled imports reflect prudent economic management. The focus ahead will be on maintaining momentum while expanding into new markets.</p>



<p>With constructive diplomacy and domestic reforms aligned, India’s trade trajectory appears increasingly positive.</p>
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		<title>Amazon&#8217;s $35 Billion India Expansion Signals A New Era For AI, Exports And Job Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/12/60538.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Dec 2025 21:50:40 +0000</pubDate>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=60538</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; Amazon has announced an ambitious plan to invest more than $35 billion in India by 2030, marking]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi</strong> &#8211; Amazon has announced an ambitious plan to invest more than $35 billion in India by 2030, marking one of the largest long-term commitments by a global technology company in the country.</p>



<p>The initiative underscores India’s rising prominence as a global technology hub and reflects the company’s confidence in the nation’s talent, digital infrastructure and economic momentum.</p>



<p>The investment aims to accelerate India’s digital transformation by strengthening artificial intelligence innovation, expanding cloud capabilities and boosting export-led growth.</p>



<p>It also aligns with India’s national priorities, including digital inclusion, job creation, and supporting small businesses through technology.</p>



<p>This renewed focus comes at a time when India is witnessing an influx of major U.S. tech investments.</p>



<p>Top companies are positioning India at the center of their global innovation strategies, making the country a preferred destination for next-generation tech development.</p>



<p>Microsoft recently committed over $17 billion to build cloud and AI infrastructure in India, reflecting strong industry confidence in the country’s expanding digital economy.</p>



<p>Google has also pledged $15 billion over the next five years to strengthen data centers and artificial intelligence development in India.</p>



<p>For Amazon, the India story has grown rapidly over the last decade, with the company already investing $40 billion since 2010.</p>



<p>The new $35 billion commitment represents a significant expansion of its long-term strategy aimed at strengthening logistics, technology infrastructure and global export channels.</p>



<p>Amazon’s roadmap includes creating one million new job opportunities in India by 2030, contributing directly to the country’s employment landscape.</p>



<p>These roles are expected to span technology, logistics, retail, and customer support, opening new pathways for India’s young workforce.</p>



<p>The company also emphasized its role in supporting Indian small and medium businesses through digital tools and global marketplace access.</p>



<p>Amazon has already helped Indian sellers generate more than $20 billion in cumulative exports over the past ten years.</p>



<p>With the new investment, Amazon aims to take total exports from Indian sellers to $80 billion by 2030, offering a major boost to India’s export economy.</p>



<p>This aligns with national programs encouraging local manufacturing, global market access, and digital entrepreneurship.</p>



<p>India’s rapidly growing internet population remains one of the strongest market drivers for Amazon’s continued expansion.</p>



<p>With millions of new users going online every year, demand for e-commerce, cloud services and digital solutions continues to surge.</p>



<p>The competition within India’s digital retail market has also intensified, with Amazon scaling operations to match the reach of Walmart-backed Flipkart and Reliance Industries’ expanding retail network.</p>



<p>This competitive landscape has accelerated innovation, improved consumer services and broadened access to high-quality digital products.</p>



<p>Amazon says its investment will enhance the country’s logistics ecosystem, including advanced delivery systems, fulfillment centers and supply chain technologies.</p>



<p>These improvements aim to make online shopping faster, more efficient and accessible to customers in both major cities and remote regions.</p>



<p>By prioritizing artificial intelligence, the company plans to support India’s budding AI ecosystem with new tools, skill development programs and collaboration opportunities.</p>



<p>This includes empowering students, developers, and startups to build future-ready applications powered by cloud and machine learning technologies.</p>



<p>Amazon’s long-term vision for India reflects a partnership model that integrates growth, innovation and social impact.</p>



<p>Its initiatives aim to deepen the company’s collaboration with Indian businesses while contributing to the country’s global leadership in technology.</p>



<p>As India moves to strengthen its position in global supply chains and digital innovation, Amazon’s investment represents a timely and strategic boost.</p>



<p>It signals confidence in India’s economic future while helping accelerate the nation’s path toward becoming a global digital powerhouse.</p>
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		<title>India Confident of Achieving 7% Growth as Strong Fundamentals Drive Economic Momentum</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/12/60345.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Dec 2025 13:00:31 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; India’s economic outlook remains firmly optimistic as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman projected growth of at least 7%]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi</strong> &#8211; India’s economic outlook remains firmly optimistic as Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman projected growth of at least 7% for the current fiscal year, reinforcing confidence in the country’s resilient fundamentals. Speaking at a leadership summit, she emphasized that India’s economic trajectory continues to stay strong despite global uncertainties, tariff pressures and volatile financial conditions abroad.</p>



<p>The finance minister highlighted that India’s consumption-driven economy is well supported by easing inflation and recent reductions in goods and services tax rates. These measures are expected to keep domestic demand stable, encouraging spending across sectors and strengthening overall economic activity. Recent GDP data has reinforced this optimism, with the economy growing at an impressive 8.2% in the second quarter, driven by festival-related demand and a surge in production activity.</p>



<p>India’s monetary policy stance has further supported this momentum. The Reserve Bank of India recently lowered the repo rate by 25 basis points, improving credit availability for businesses and households. The central bank simultaneously revised its GDP growth forecast upward to 7.3%, signaling strong confidence in India’s ability to maintain a steady pace of expansion. With inflation estimates also reduced, macroeconomic stability is expected to play a key role in sustaining growth through the year.</p>



<p>Amid global pressures such as higher U.S. tariffs and a widening trade deficit, India has accelerated reforms aimed at strengthening its domestic economy. Changes in labour regulations, rationalised tax structures and streamlined financial sector rules reflect the government’s long-term strategy to enhance competitiveness and foster a business-friendly environment. These reforms are contributing to healthier investment sentiment and supporting domestic manufacturing and services.</p>



<p>Sitharaman also noted the increased retail participation in India’s financial markets, which highlights rising investor confidence. Lower interest rates, strong corporate performance and greater financial inclusion are driving more individuals toward equity markets. At the same time, home-loan demand has picked up significantly, signaling renewed vibrancy in the residential sector and reflecting broader trust in the economy’s stability.</p>



<p>In discussing currency trends, the finance minister said the rupee would continue to find its natural market value. While depreciation has posed challenges, she emphasized that exporters are benefiting from the weaker currency, especially as it aligns with recent tariff adjustments. This balance supports India’s trade competitiveness and helps diversify revenue flows for businesses engaged in global markets.</p>



<p>India’s position as the world’s fifth-largest economy is being reinforced by its consistent growth performance and ability to weather international challenges. Robust domestic demand, a dynamic financial sector and targeted policy interventions have created an environment where economic stability and progress can coexist even amid shifting global conditions. The government’s focus remains on sustaining reforms, strengthening supply chains and encouraging technology-driven innovation to support long-term development.</p>



<p>The broader economic narrative reflects a confident, future-focused India intent on expanding opportunities for businesses and citizens alike. With strong fundamentals, proactive governance and rising global relevance, India’s economic outlook remains bright. The commitment to maintaining a stable macroeconomic framework while encouraging growth-oriented reforms ensures that the country is well-positioned to achieve and even surpass its projected growth targets.</p>
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		<title>India Records Fastest Growth in Six Quarters, Strengthens Resilience Amid Trade Pressures</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/11/59926.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 28 Nov 2025 20:02:19 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[New Delhi &#8211; India’s economy expanded at its quickest pace in a year and a half during the July–September quarter,]]></description>
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<p><strong>New Delhi </strong>&#8211; India’s economy expanded at its quickest pace in a year and a half during the July–September quarter, supported by strong consumer spending, significant pre-festival production, and accelerated exports ahead of higher U.S. tariffs.</p>



<p>The performance underscores the country’s ability to navigate external challenges while sustaining broad-based domestic momentum.</p>



<p>Official data showed that the economy grew 8.2% year-on-year for the period, exceeding expectations and comfortably outpacing earlier forecasts.</p>



<p>The improvement follows a 7.8% rise in the previous quarter, highlighting steady growth even as global trade conditions remain uncertain.</p>



<p>Government officials noted that the outcome reflects continuing efforts to boost domestic demand and support industries impacted by tariff-related disruptions.</p>



<p>The growth numbers also come at a time when India is facing additional U.S. duties of up to 50% on multiple goods, including textiles, processed foods, and jewellery.</p>



<p>The strong quarterly performance is expected to provide greater confidence to policymakers as they assess the year’s remaining economic priorities.</p>



<p>It is also likely to influence ongoing discussions surrounding trade cooperation and negotiations with major global partners.</p>



<p>Consumer spending remained a key driver, rising 7.9% year-on-year and lifting overall demand across urban and rural regions.</p>



<p>Household purchasing was supported by tax cuts on essential products that took effect at the end of September, helping offset global uncertainties affecting external markets.</p>



<p>Economists highlighted that export activity was significantly front-loaded ahead of tariff deadlines, contributing to the sharp rise in industrial output.</p>



<p>Production cycles were adjusted by manufacturers to meet festival demand while maximizing shipments before tariff increases fully applied.</p>



<p>Manufacturing output rose 9.1% in the quarter, up from 7.7% in the preceding period, reflecting energetic activity across several industrial categories.</p>



<p>Construction also expanded 7.2%, supported by ongoing infrastructure spending and private-sector development projects.</p>



<p>Despite strong private-sector performance, government spending showed a decline of 2.7% year-on-year compared with earlier growth.<br>The drop indicates a recalibration of public expenditure cycles, though officials maintain that investment commitments remain intact.</p>



<p>The government expressed confidence that overall growth for the financial year would remain above 7%, supported by resilient domestic demand and ongoing reform measures.</p>



<p>This outlook surpasses earlier projections that had estimated lower expansion due to potential trade headwinds.</p>



<p>Officials pointed to a combination of easing inflation, improving supply conditions, and continued public investment as factors expected to sustain momentum into the next quarters.</p>



<p>Retail inflation in October fell sharply to 0.25%, offering further relief to households and shaping expectations ahead of the upcoming central bank policy review.</p>



<p>Analysts believe the favorable inflation data increases the likelihood of interest rate reductions, which could strengthen borrowing conditions and stimulate additional activity.</p>



<p>The moderation in prices also supports real incomes, making it easier for consumers to maintain spending levels despite broader global tensions.</p>



<p>The acceleration in growth has also been attributed to recent reforms aimed at improving labor regulations and streamlining tax structures.</p>



<p>Authorities say these steps were designed to safeguard domestic economic stability while addressing long-standing structural challenges.</p>



<p>Economists observing the quarter’s results suggested that India’s full-year growth may reach or surpass 7.5%, exceeding previous central bank predictions.</p>



<p>They noted that the combined effects of early export shipments, tax incentives, and manufacturing strength have created a favorable environment for sustained expansion.</p>



<p>However, experts also cautioned that global trade uncertainties remain a significant risk, particularly if demand conditions weaken in key partner markets.</p>



<p>India is therefore expected to continue focusing on diversification of export destinations and strengthening internal economic buffers to manage evolving international pressures.</p>



<p>Despite these uncertainties, the latest economic data shows a strong foundation heading into the final months of the financial year.</p>



<p>With rising consumption, stable industrial output, and easing inflation, India appears well-positioned to maintain momentum while navigating shifting global dynamics.</p>
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		<title>India’s CPI Inflation Expected to Drop to a Multi-Year Low, Signaling Economic Stability</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/11/58958.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 09 Nov 2025 19:43:27 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Bengaluru — India’s consumer price inflation (CPI) is expected to fall to a record low of 0.48% in October, reflecting]]></description>
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<p><strong>Bengaluru —</strong> India’s consumer price inflation (CPI) is expected to fall to a record low of 0.48% in October, reflecting the country’s strong economic fundamentals, steady food prices, and efficient fiscal management. Economists believe this marks a major milestone, showing India’s success in maintaining price stability while sustaining economic growth.</p>



<p>According to recent economic forecasts, the decline in inflation is being driven by a sustained fall in food prices and a higher base effect from last year. This positive trend underlines India’s improving supply chain efficiency and effective government measures to stabilize essential commodity prices.</p>



<p>Experts also attribute the drop to the Goods and Services Tax (GST) reduction implemented in late September, which provided relief to consumers and small businesses. This policy move, combined with better harvests and consistent food supply, has kept food inflation under control.</p>



<p>Despite a global environment of economic uncertainty, India’s inflation rate continues to cool even as the economy expands robustly. Official data showed that India’s GDP grew nearly 8% in the April–June quarter, making it one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies.</p>



<p>Economists now anticipate that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) could consider further interest rate cuts in the coming months to support consumption and investment. The moderation in inflation provides room for monetary flexibility while keeping the economy on a growth trajectory.</p>



<p>A key factor contributing to the decline is the steep drop in vegetable prices, which have recorded double-digit declines for six consecutive months. Since food items make up nearly half of India’s CPI basket, this downward trend has been crucial in bringing inflation under control.</p>



<p>The CPI rate, projected at 0.48% in October, is a significant improvement from 1.54% in September, and represents the lowest level in the current CPI series, introduced in 2015. This development reflects India’s growing resilience to food price fluctuations and external market pressures.</p>



<p>Looking forward, the government plans to update the CPI base year to 2024, ensuring a more accurate reflection of changing consumption patterns. The new index will better represent the modern Indian household, which now spends less on food and more on services, healthcare, and digital consumption.</p>



<p>Economists such as Rahul Bajoria of BofA Securities have highlighted that the current disinflation trend is broad-based and supported by structural improvements. He noted that despite sporadic unseasonal rainfall, overall food inflation remains contained, with the risk of supply shocks appearing limited in the near term.</p>



<p>While some analysts warn that inflation may have reached its lowest point, the broader consensus remains optimistic. The combination of government policy support, improved supply chains, and technological integration in agriculture continues to keep prices steady.</p>



<p>Economists also point out that household spending habits are evolving. The Household Consumption Expenditure Survey 2023/24 revealed a shift in expenditure patterns, showing a declining share of food in total household budgets. This suggests rising income levels and diversification of consumer spending toward lifestyle and service sectors.</p>



<p>The government’s upcoming CPI revision will account for these changes, adjusting the weight of food to around 40% or lower, making the index more reflective of present-day economic realities. This modernization is expected to improve data accuracy and help policymakers make better-informed decisions.</p>



<p>As India’s inflation rate stabilizes and economic growth continues, investor confidence remains high. The nation’s strong macroeconomic performance, coupled with a favorable policy environment, positions it as one of the most resilient and promising economies globally.</p>



<p>India’s economic story now stands as a model for balancing growth with price stability. With inflation nearing record lows and GDP growth remaining strong, the country continues to move confidently toward long-term financial sustainability and prosperity.</p>
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		<title>Indian Stock Markets Shine in October with Robust Growth</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/10/58487.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 31 Oct 2025 11:52:27 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Mumbai – India’s stock markets witnessed a remarkable resurgence in October, marking their strongest monthly performance since March. The benchmark]]></description>
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<p><strong>Mumbai</strong> – India’s stock markets witnessed a remarkable resurgence in October, marking their strongest monthly performance since March. </p>



<p>The benchmark indices, the Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex, surged by 4.5% and 4.6% respectively, driven by solid corporate earnings, positive investor sentiment, and sustained foreign inflows. </p>



<p>The upbeat performance highlights renewed confidence in India’s economic outlook and resilience amid global uncertainty.</p>



<p>Although both indices closed slightly below their all-time highs reached in September 2024, the overall monthly performance reflects optimism in the country’s growth potential. </p>



<p>Market experts attribute this rally to stronger-than-expected corporate earnings, improved valuations, and the easing of inflationary concerns supported by stable monsoon conditions.</p>



<p>Despite a minor dip on the last trading day of the month, when the Nifty 50 fell by 0.6% to 25,722.1 and the Sensex declined by 0.55% to 83,938.71, the broader market momentum remained positive. </p>



<p>The temporary weakness was linked to adjustments in bank stock indexes following regulatory announcements. </p>



<p>India’s market regulator recently confirmed that bank stock indexes tied to derivatives contracts would undergo restructuring in phases by March 2026, leading to some short-term profit booking.</p>



<p>Even with this regulatory impact, analysts remain upbeat. According to G. Chokkalingam, founder and head of research at Equinomics Research, October was “a strong rebound month for markets, with corporate earnings meeting expectations and no major disappointments.”</p>



<p> He added that the cooling of valuations compared to September 2024 has reignited foreign investor interest, especially as India’s economic fundamentals remain strong and inflation stays under control.</p>



<p>Foreign institutional investors made a notable comeback, purchasing nearly $1.94 billion worth of Indian equities in October. </p>



<p>This reversed a three-month trend of outflows and underscored global investors’ confidence in India’s growth trajectory.</p>



<p> With a combination of stable macroeconomic conditions, a supportive policy environment, and growing global demand for Indian exports, the country continues to attract long-term capital inflows.</p>



<p>All 16 major sectors on the Indian exchanges recorded gains in October, showcasing the broad-based nature of the market rally. </p>



<p>The small-cap and mid-cap segments performed particularly well, with gains of 4.7% and 5.8% respectively, highlighting increased participation across market categories.</p>



<p>Sector-wise, financials, banks, and private lenders were among the top performers, posting gains between 4.3% and 6% during the month. </p>



<p>The strong results of leading lenders such as HDFC Bank and Axis Bank added to market optimism, reflecting a steady recovery in credit demand and stable asset quality. </p>



<p>The banking sector’s robust performance is expected to continue as India’s economy maintains its momentum in consumption and investment.</p>



<p>The information technology sector also posted a solid 6.1% increase in October, boosted by better-than-expected earnings from leading firms such as Tata Consultancy Services, HCLTech, and Wipro.</p>



<p> This performance indicates resilience in India’s technology services industry despite global economic headwinds and slowing IT spending in other markets.</p>



<p>Among individual companies, Reliance Industries led the rally with a 9% jump in October following a 10% rise in second-quarter profit.</p>



<p> The company’s strong performance across its energy, telecom, and retail segments reaffirmed its status as one of India’s most influential corporate powerhouses.</p>



<p> Other notable gainers included Titan Company, which rose 11.3% on robust festive-season demand, and Nestlé India, which gained 10.3% after delivering upbeat quarterly results in the consumer goods sector.</p>



<p>Overall, the October performance of Indian markets reflects renewed optimism among both domestic and global investors.</p>



<p> The consistent growth in corporate profits, combined with improving valuations and strong macroeconomic indicators, has positioned India as a leading investment destination in Asia.</p>



<p>Looking ahead, experts believe that India’s markets are likely to maintain their upward momentum, supported by strong earnings visibility, healthy liquidity, and policy stability. </p>



<p>The combination of solid fundamentals and increased investor participation is expected to keep the Nifty 50 and Sensex on a positive trajectory through the remainder of the financial year.</p>
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		<title>India’s Small Sellers Power Amazon’s $20 Billion Export Boom</title>
		<link>https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/10/58261.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[NewsDesk Milli Chronicle]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Oct 2025 12:29:03 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[From small-town artisans to global entrepreneurs, India’s digital sellers are transforming e-commerce exports — propelling Amazon toward an $80 billion]]></description>
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<p>From small-town artisans to global entrepreneurs, India’s digital sellers are transforming e-commerce exports — propelling Amazon toward an $80 billion goal by 2030 despite global trade headwinds.</p>
</blockquote>



<p>Amazon has announced a major milestone in India’s digital trade journey as Indian sellers have collectively surpassed $20 billion in e-commerce exports. </p>



<p>This remarkable achievement highlights the growing strength of the country’s online export ecosystem. </p>



<p>Despite new U.S. tariffs on certain Indian goods, the company remains optimistic about long-term growth and has set an even higher target of reaching $80 billion in exports by 2030.</p>



<p>This milestone underlines India’s transformation into a global export hub powered by small businesses, artisans, and micro-entrepreneurs.</p>



<p> Since the launch of Amazon’s Global Selling program in 2015, thousands of local sellers have gained access to international markets, building global customer bases and transforming their livelihoods through digital platforms. </p>



<p>The program now spans 28 states and seven union territories, connecting more than 200,000 Indian sellers with buyers across 18 countries including the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Canada, and the United Arab Emirates.</p>



<p>The achievement reflects not only Amazon’s global reach but also India’s evolving digital economy. As the world’s fastest-growing e-commerce market, India is witnessing a surge in small-town participation in exports. </p>



<p>Sellers from cities like Panipat, Bhadohi, Karur, and Erode have become central to this transformation. </p>



<p>Known for their traditional craftsmanship in textiles, home décor, and furniture, these towns are now leveraging technology and logistics support to serve international consumers directly.</p>



<p> In 2024 alone, Panipat and Karur together shipped goods worth nearly $160 million, showing how smaller manufacturing hubs are reshaping India’s trade story.</p>



<p>According to Srinidhi Kalvapudi, head of Amazon Global Selling India, this milestone is just the beginning. He stated that the company’s focus remains on long-term growth rather than short-term challenges like tariffs or policy shifts.</p>



<p> Amazon’s Global Selling program has seen significant expansion, helping Indian sellers reach millions of customers across continents. </p>



<p>The platform allows micro, small, and medium enterprises to list their products globally while Amazon provides assistance in logistics, warehousing, payments, and customer service. </p>



<p>This ecosystem has reduced traditional barriers to trade and empowered even first-time exporters to compete internationally.</p>



<p>Categories such as health and beauty products, home décor, apparel, and toys have emerged as top-performing segments, growing at more than 35% annually.</p>



<p> This reflects global consumers’ increasing preference for Indian craftsmanship, sustainable materials, and innovative design.</p>



<p> Products ranging from handmade carpets in Bhadohi to eco-friendly kitchenware in Tamil Nadu are now household favorites across the U.S. and Europe.</p>



<p>Amazon’s export success also aligns with India’s broader trade ambitions. The country’s 2023 trade policy and the Reserve Bank of India’s simplified e-commerce export rules have created a more favorable environment for cross-border digital trade.</p>



<p> These reforms have streamlined documentation, reduced compliance burdens, and simplified foreign exchange regulations, allowing small sellers to export with ease.</p>



<p>Kalvapudi emphasized that government support and digital transformation have played key roles in empowering local entrepreneurs. He noted that exports are no longer limited to metro cities, as small towns have become the backbone of India’s export story.</p>



<p> While U.S. tariffs introduced in August 2025 temporarily affected shipments of textiles, shrimp, gems, and jewelry, Amazon’s diversified export base has helped cushion the impact.</p>



<p> The company’s global network continues to provide stability, ensuring that Indian sellers have multiple markets to explore.</p>



<p>Amazon has also invested heavily in training and development programs to equip Indian sellers with skills in product optimization, packaging, and global logistics.</p>



<p> These initiatives have strengthened the competitiveness of Indian MSMEs, allowing them to deliver high-quality products that meet international standards.</p>



<p>Looking ahead, Amazon aims to quadruple exports from India over the next five years. Its vision is supported by the growing number of local entrepreneurs embracing e-commerce as a tool for global expansion. </p>



<p>The next phase of growth is expected to come from tier-2 and tier-3 cities, where internet access, improved infrastructure, and digital literacy are unlocking new opportunities.</p>



<p>With over 200,000 exporters already contributing, India’s digital export economy is more inclusive than ever before. The combination of government reforms, global market access, and digital innovation positions the country as a future leader in cross-border trade.</p>



<p>Amazon’s achievement of $20 billion in exports ahead of schedule stands as a symbol of India’s resilience, creativity, and entrepreneurial spirit.</p>



<p> It represents a powerful narrative of how small sellers, equipped with technology and determination, can redefine global commerce.</p>



<p> As India marches toward its $80 billion goal by 2030, this success story showcases how digital platforms can empower local talent, strengthen economies, and bring the spirit of “Made in India” to households around the world.</p>
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