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	<title>Erdogan foreign policy &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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		<title>The Kurdish Frontline: A Moral and Strategic Call for Trilateral Action</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2026/01/62634.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paushali Lass]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Jan 2026 07:48:50 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[The Kurdish struggle matters because it is on the front line against the same extremist ideologies that threaten these countries.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-block-post-author"><div class="wp-block-post-author__avatar"><img alt='' src='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/81c2e6b8eb3f7406d8eae5d96cfdf3b4?s=48&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g' srcset='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/81c2e6b8eb3f7406d8eae5d96cfdf3b4?s=96&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-48 photo' height='48' width='48' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/></div><div class="wp-block-post-author__content"><p class="wp-block-post-author__name">Paushali Lass</p></div></div>


<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>The Kurdish struggle matters because it is on the front line against the same extremist ideologies that threaten these countries. </p>
</blockquote>



<p>Northern Syria is in a cataclysmic crisis. Kurdish communities in Rojava are facing relentless attacks by Turkish-backed militias and Syrian regime forces. Villages are being razed, civilians executed, women raped, and entire neighbourhoods systematically targeted. </p>



<p>Turkey’s involvement is central: Erdoğan manipulates proxies and leaders, such as Syria’s interim president Al-Jolani, to press his agenda, pursuing Ottoman-style expansionist ambitions while advancing a ruthless campaign to erase Kurdish autonomy. The Kurds, who have built pluralistic and stable governance systems in a region dominated by authoritarianism and sectarianism, now face existential threats.</p>



<p>What is unfolding against the Kurds in Syria carries lethal implications throughout the Middle East and beyond. The Kurdish struggle underscores a larger geopolitical reality: unchecked aggression here emboldens expansionist and Islamist forces throughout the region. </p>



<p>Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey are moving to form a NATO-style alliance, called the <a href="https://www.memri.org/reports/way-islamic-nato-turkey-advances-towards-membership-saudi-pakistan-defense-pact">Strategic Mutual Defence Agreement (SMDA), whereby any attack on one party is considered an attack on all</a>. </p>



<p>Turkey’s destabilising ambitions, combined with Pakistan’s support for Islamist networks and Saudi Arabia’s regional influence, are forming a bloc whose goals clash directly with the security and values of Israel, India, and the UAE — three powers on the Middle-East-Asia Corridor with shared strategic and democratic imperatives. For these three countries, the threat and consequences of extremism are immediate.</p>



<p>Israel and India maintain solid <a href="https://breakingdefense.com/2025/11/india-israel-sign-new-mou-on-defense-tech/">defence cooperation</a>, forged over decades of shared security challenges and strategic alignment. <a href="https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/economy/foreign-trade/india-uae-aim-to-double-trade-to-200-billion-by-2032-ink-deals-on-lng-defence-and-space/articleshow/126690034.cms?from=mdr">India and the UAE have recently strengthened economic and security partnerships</a>, including agreements in energy, defence collaboration, and trade, with the aim of doubling bilateral commerce to $200 billion over the next six years. </p>



<p>Together, Israel, India, and the UAE form a natural coalition committed to protecting citizens, countering extremist ideologies, and preserving regional stability.</p>



<p>The Kurdish struggle matters because it is on the front line against the same extremist ideologies that threaten these countries. Kurdish forces bravely fought off ISIS between 2014 and 2017, when much of the region collapsed, protecting religious minorities and detaining thousands of terrorists on behalf of the international community. </p>



<p>Today, these efforts are under severe strain. <a href="https://www.rudaw.net/english/middleeast/iraq/21012026">Prison breaks in north-eastern Syria, escalating attacks on Kurdish-held territory, and the vulnerability of displacement camps signal a potential resurgence of ISIS</a>.</p>



<p>ISIS had never truly disappeared. Since losing its territorial caliphate in 2019, it restructured into a decentralised global network with regional affiliates. <a href="https://www.visionofhumanity.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/03/Global-Terrorism-Index-2025.pdf">By the end of 2024, it remained the most lethal terrorist organisation worldwide</a>. Its digital presence, financial networks using cryptocurrencies, and ideological influence over minors and lone actors make it a persistent global threat. </p>



<p>Weakening Kurdish control creates space for ISIS to regroup and export violence far beyond the Middle East — to Europe, India, and beyond.</p>



<p>ISIS has also preserved and expanded its digital capabilities. Through social media, encrypted messaging platforms, and online propaganda, the organisation radicalises and recruits globally, particularly among minors. </p>



<p>ISIS-inspired attacks involving teenagers in Europe, including <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/2025/02/16/world/asia/knife-attack-austria.html">Austria</a> and <a href="https://www.dw.com/en/germany-and-europe-face-renewed-islamic-state-threats/a-70061963">Germany</a>, demonstrate how rapidly online radicalisation can translate into real-world violence, often beyond early detection by security services.</p>



<p>Geopolitics, however, is not just about land and strategy; at its heart lies a spiritual dimension that is often overlooked. The current chaos is unfolding around the Euphrates, a river whose surrounding lands are historically sacred. This was where Abraham, the father of monotheistic faiths, settled, amassed wealth and influence, and lived in coexistence with people of different faiths. </p>



<p>The values Abraham embodied, such as respect, dignity, coexistence — continue to shape the cultural DNA of the Kurds. Today, those same values, reflected in the Kurdish society, which I have personally witnessed in their respect for human dignity, women’s rights, and pluralism, are under direct threat from extremist ideologies seeking to destroy them.</p>



<p>The Kurds’ defence of pluralism, coexistence, and local governance mirrors values shared by Israel, India, and the UAE. Failing to protect them is not neutral; it constitutes strategic negligence with consequences that will be felt far beyond Syria.</p>



<p>The opportunity for trilateral cooperation is clear. Israel and India already maintain strong defence ties, sharing expertise in counterterrorism, military technology, and intelligence operations. India and the UAE have deepened strategic, economic, and security partnerships, building a foundation for coordinated action in the region. The existing intelligence-sharing framework between Israel, India, and the UAE is a critical asset. </p>



<p>Strengthened and fully integrated, it could become a force that regional aggressors would approach with caution, knowing that any misstep against the trio carries immediate, precise consequences. Such strengthened coordination would allow pre-emption of terrorist operations, disruption of financing channels, prevention of further prison breaks escalating into global attacks, and early identification of radicalisation in vulnerable populations. </p>



<p>This is not abstract geopolitics; it is about protecting citizens under threat, whether in Kobane in Syrian Kurdistan, Tel Aviv, Delhi, or Dubai.</p>



<p>The Kurdish crisis also has profound moral resonance. Jews and Kurds are both ancient peoples shaped by exile, persecution, and the longing for homeland and dignity. Both have survived through resilience, shared values, and a commitment to coexistence rather than domination. This shared ethos should compel Israel to safeguard regional allies by building strong, long-term partnerships with stable partners such as the UAE and India. </p>



<p>The systematic dismantling of Kurdish society is not only a regional tragedy — it is a blow against the principles that govern other modern, pluralistic nations. For India, which faces Pakistan-sponsored jihadism and digital radicalisation, the Kurdish struggle mirrors its own fight against extremist ideologies that weaponise religion and erase pluralistic traditions.</p>



<p>For me personally, these countries matter deeply. My Indian background and consistent time spent in Israel give me a unique perspective on the stakes involved.</p>



<p>The UAE has proven to be a strong and reliable Middle Eastern partner, and I hope for even closer trilateral cooperation with Israel and India. Together, these nations have both the strategic capability and the moral imperative to act decisively. </p>



<p>But the capability should not just be expressed in words, but through concrete, coordinated action to prevent further atrocities and the resurgence of ISIS.</p>



<p>The human toll is urgent. Displacement, executions, and destruction in north-eastern Syria (Rojava) are accompanied by women’s lives in grave danger and children living amid trauma and extremist influence. </p>



<p>ISIS’s adaptability, both digital and operational, means that failing to act now risks renewed terror reaching far beyond Syria. Supporting the Kurds is about defending humanity against an extremist ideology that threatens us all.</p>



<p>The question is simple: will the world stand by, or will it recognise the moral and strategic necessity of supporting those on the front lines of extremism? The Kurdish crisis is a stark reminder that regional ambitions must be firmly contained. </p>



<p>For India, Israel, and the UAE, strengthening trilateral cooperation is not only about countering ISIS. It is also about ensuring that Pakistan’s proxies and Turkey’s expansionist ambitions remain within their own borders and fantasies. Coordinated intelligence, rapid-response networks, and strategic alignment can send a clear message: no aggression will go unchecked, and no extremist ideology will reshape the region. The time to act is now.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not reflect Milli Chronicle’s point-of-view.</p>
</blockquote>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Israel’s Somaliland Gamble and the New Geometry of the Red Sea</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2026/01/61999.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Arun Anand]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 14:00:53 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Middle East and North Africa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Top Stories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Abraham Accords expansion]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Bab el-Mandeb Strait]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Benjamin Netanyahu foreign policy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Ethiopia access Berbera port]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gaza war impact geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics of recognition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[global trade routes]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[great power competition Red Sea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Gulf of Aden strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Horn of Africa politics]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Israel Somaliland recognition]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[maritime chokepoints]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Port of Berbera strategic importance]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Somaliland and specifically the Port of Berbera, offers New Delhi an alternative gateway into the region and the broader African]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>Somaliland and specifically the Port of Berbera, offers New Delhi an alternative gateway into the region and the broader African hinterland, including landlocked Ethiopia. </p>
</blockquote>



<p>On December 26, 2025, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu raise diplomatic tempers in Middle East by <a href="https://www.gov.il/en/pages/event-somaliland261225">unilaterally recognising</a> the Republic of Somaliland, the breakaway region of Somalia which has been functioning as a de facto state since 1991. This decision goes beyond a diplomatic gesture and signifies a landmark geopolitical move that signals a recalibration of power politics in the Red Sea, the Horn of Africa, and the eastern Mediterranean. </p>



<p>Not only did it break a long-standing international taboo against recognising defacto regions, it also injected new momentum into a region which is increasingly defined by strategic choke points, rival maritime visions, and great-power competition.</p>



<p>Located along the southern edge of the Gulf of Aden, bordering Djibouti, and sitting astride the approaches to Bab el-Mandeb, Somaliland has existed in diplomatic limbo for three decades ago. Its decision to exit political union followed the collapse of Siad Barre’s regime and has since built functioning political institutions while Mogadishu remained mired in civil war, insurgency, and foreign intervention. </p>



<p>It has conducted multiple elections, maintained relative internal stability, issued its own currency and passports, and exercised effective territorial control, which constitute core criteria of statehood under international law. And still, recognition eluded Hargeisa, largely because of international deference to the fiction of Somali territorial unity.</p>



<p>But the December 26 recognition by Israel marks the <a href="https://www.gov.il/en/pages/event-somaliland261225">first major breach</a> in this diplomatic wall. Framed within the broader ethos of the Abraham Accords, which seeks to normalise Israel’s relations with its Arab neighbours, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s announcement historically significant elevates Somaliland from diplomatic obscurity and signals that geopolitical utility and governance capacity can, under certain conditions, trump inherited postcolonial borders. </p>



<p>Though this precedent alone makes the decision a watershed moment, yet the true importance of this move lies less in symbolism and more in strategy.</p>



<p>This decision must be read against the backdrop of the Red Sea’s growing militarization in recent years. For instance, the Bab el-Mandeb Strait which connects the Gulf of Aden to the Red Sea and, by extension, the Suez Canal (which opens into Mediterranean Sea) has emerged as one of the world’s most contested maritime chokepoints. </p>



<p>During the prolonged Gaza war that followed Hamas’s October 7, 2023 terrorist attack on Israel, Iran-backed Houthi militia in Yemen repeatedly targeted Israeli-linked shipping, exposing Israel’s vulnerability along its maritime lifelines.</p>



<p>As such, it cannot be divorced from the Israel’s broader post-Gaza recalibration, where it is prioritizing securing maritime routes, diversifying strategic partnerships, and reducing reliance on fragile regional arrangements. </p>



<p>What Somaliland does is it provide Israel a rare strategic advantage in the region where hostile non-state actors have in recent years emerged a significant irritant to its maritime access. Its Port of Berbera can provide Israeli Defence Force (IDF) with potential logistical depth, maritime awareness, and forward presence in Red Sea region and deny any military advantage to hostile actors like Houthis who sit across on the eastern coast of Gulf of Aden. </p>



<p>Israel has <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/1/6/israeli-fm-visits-somaliland-after-world-first-recognition-storm">demonstrated</a> its resolve to grow its relations with Somaliland through the January 7 Hargeisa visit by Foreign Minister Gideon Saar, becoming the first high-level international dignitary to visit the country.</p>



<p>More crucially, this decision <a href="https://www.gov.il/en/pages/spoke-jointdeclaration231225">followed the 10th trilateral summit</a> of December 23 between Israel, Greece, and Cyprus in Jerusalem, wherein their leaders —PM Netanyahu, PM Kyriakos Mitsotakis (Greece) and President Nikos Christodoulides (Cyprus)— reaffirmed cooperation on energy, security, and regional stability.</p>



<p>These are the areas where all three states have found themselves increasingly at odds with Turkey’s assertive posture in the Eastern Mediterranean region.</p>



<p>Together, these moves, as such, reveal a coherent strategy by Israel to constrain Ankara’s regional ambitions. It is should be noted that Turkey, under President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, has pursued an increasingly revisionist foreign policy, blending neo-Ottoman rhetoric with military deployments and proxy relationships stretching from Libya and Syria to the Horn of Africa. </p>



<p>In the eastern Mediterranean, Turkey’s aggressive maritime claims and unilateral actions have antagonized Greece and Cyprus while undermining cooperative energy frameworks in the region.</p>



<p>In the Horn of Africa, Ankara has followed a similar playbook. By becoming the principal external patron of Somalia’s federal government under President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud, through military training, financial aid, and base access, Turkey has positioned Mogadishu as the cornerstone of its Red Sea strategy. </p>



<p>But this engagement has always been less about Somali stability and more about power projection. It provides Ankara with proximity to Bab el-Mandeb and leverage over one of the world’s most vital maritime corridors through which roughly 12-15 per cent of global trade worth over 1 trillion USD is conducted annually.</p>



<p>Israel’s recognition of Somaliland, therefore, directly undercuts this strategy. It legitimizes an alternative political entity that Ankara has consistently sought to marginalize and weakens Turkey’s monopoly over Somalia’s external partnerships. President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s sharp condemnation and <a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/12/30/trkiyes-erdogan-calls-israels-somaliland-recognition-unacceptable">calling the move</a> “illegitimate and unacceptable” betrays Ankara’s anxiety that its Horn of Africa foothold may now face meaningful constraints. </p>



<p>But Turkey’s insistence on Somali “unity and territorial integrity” rings hollow when contrasted with its own record of selective sovereignty advocacy for regions like Northern Cyprus. What Ankara fears is not fragmentation per se, but the erosion of its geopolitical leverage in the Red Sea basin.</p>



<p>For India, this decision by Israel carries quiet but <a href="https://idsa.in/publisher/issuebrief/israels-recognition-of-somaliland-implications-for-alliances-in-the-red-sea-basin">significant implications</a>, particularly for the India–Middle East–Europe Economic Corridor (IMEC). The project which has been conceived as a multimodal trade and connectivity initiative linking India to Europe via the Middle East, was disrupted by the Gaza war and this recalibration could ring positively for realising its implementation. </p>



<p>Moreover, Somaliland, and specifically the Port of Berbera, offers New Delhi an alternative gateway into the region and the broader African hinterland, including landlocked Ethiopia. While New Delhi, due to its express commitment to norms based international relations, may be constrained by its adherence to UN norms and is unlikely to formally recognize Somaliland in the near term, Israel’s move expands its strategic options without requiring overt diplomatic commitments.</p>



<p>Equally important is what this means vis-à-vis Turkey. Ankara has consistently positioned itself as an alternative economic and political hub for the Muslim world, often at odds with India’s interests. By weakening Turkey’s strategic depth near the Red Sea, Israel’s move indirectly aligns with India’s interest in a more plural, less Ankara-dominated regional order.</p>



<p>Israel’s recognition of Somaliland is, at its core, a bet: that regional stability will increasingly favor functional governance over inherited legitimacy, maritime strategy over rhetorical solidarity, and coalitions of the willing over paralyzed multilateralism. It challenges Turkey’s negative and destabilizing role in multiple theaters, signals resolve in the face of maritime coercion, and opens new possibilities for partners like India.</p>



<p>While this decision offers Somaliland its long-delayed validation and Israel the strategic depth, it represents a rare diplomatic setback for Turkey. Whether others follow Israel’s lead remains uncertain. But one thing is clear that the Red Sea is no longer a peripheral theatre and this development makes it a focal point of geopolitics in the years ahead.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not reflect Milli Chronicle’s point-of-view.</p>
</blockquote>
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