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	<title>Baloch insurgency &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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	<title>Baloch insurgency &#8211; The Milli Chronicle</title>
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		<title>Resource-Rich, Rights-Poor: The Paradox of Balochistan</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2026/05/67477.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Arun Anand]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 May 2026 12:49:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Top Stories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Akbar Bugti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asim Munir]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Attaullah Tarar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baloch alienation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baloch conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baloch insurgency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baloch militants]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Baloch resistance]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Balochistan separatist movement]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Balochistan Unrest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Barkhan District attack]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BNP Balochistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[BYC Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[civic space Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[copper mining Balochistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dera Bugti]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Donald Trump Pakistan meeting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[enforced disappearances Balochistan]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Islamabad politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[kill and dump policy]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[pakistan]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Shehbaz Sharif]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[In its efforts to woo foreign investment and overhaul its image, Pakistan is trying to sell the natural resources of]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-block-post-author"><div class="wp-block-post-author__avatar"><img alt='' src='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/bb9e54675a4e13ec52632e18de1bbd93?s=48&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g' srcset='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/bb9e54675a4e13ec52632e18de1bbd93?s=96&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-48 photo' height='48' width='48' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/></div><div class="wp-block-post-author__content"><p class="wp-block-post-author__name">Arun Anand</p></div></div>


<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>In its efforts to woo foreign investment and overhaul its image, Pakistan is trying to sell the natural resources of Balochistan to the world.</p>
</blockquote>



<p>The Government of Pakistan has imposed a series of restrictions to maintain law and order in Balochistan, the largest and most troubled province of the country. Issuing a notice on 17 May, the Government <a href="https://www.brecorder.com/news/40421611/section-144-imposed-in-balochistan-face-covering-in-public-places-banned">imposed Section 144 across Balochistan</a> for a period of one month. The notification put restrictions on all public gatherings, including rallies and processions involving five or more people. Covering of faces in public places is also prohibited.</p>



<p>Imposition of restrictive measures in Balochistan vindicates the failure of the Pakistan Military, Federal Government, and the Provincial Government led by Chief Minister Sarfaraz Bugti to bring the armed struggle of Baloch rebels under control. Pakistan security forces have been incurring huge losses at the hands Baloch militants. On 12 May, in the latest case, a search operation team came under heavy fire from the Baloch militants in Barkhan District, <a href="https://www.dawn.com/news/1999982">killing five Pakistani military personnel</a>.&nbsp;&nbsp;</p>



<p>Pakistan’s Balochistan problem has lingered for eight decades. The ruling elite has failed to come up with a mutually acceptable solution to the problem that has led to four Baloch insurgencies in the short history of the country: 1948, 1958, 1973, and 2003. The latest insurgency intensified with the alleged rape of a Baloch doctor, from the Bugti Tribe, by a colonel of the Pakistan Army in 2005.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The rape took place at Sui, Dera Bugti, in the heavily guarded government-owned natural gas plant. The colonel was never held accountable; instead, the doctor was held captive <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/south_asia/4633849.stm">and threatened to stay silent.</a> This not only provoked the Baloch but also united various tribes to seek justice for a Baloch woman, intensifying attacks on the Pakistan Army. In response, instead of addressing the heinous crime and punishing the colonel, Pakistani forces killed the prominent Bugti tribe leader, Akbar Bugti, in August 2006.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Naturally, the killing stoked up anger, strengthening Baloch nationalist sentiment and escalating the conflict. Since then, the situation has been compounded further with huge human rights violations, with the adoption of the brutal “kill and dump” policy of the Pakistani State.&nbsp;</p>



<p>In 2011, a senior vice-president of the <a href="https://tribune.com.pk/story/227921/balochistan-unrest-stop-%E2%80%98kill-and-dump%E2%80%99-operations">Balochistan High Court Bar Association (BHCBA)</a> had warned that if the “kill and dump” policy was not stopped, the situation in Balochistan could go out of control. Over 15 years later, the situation in Balochistan has only worsened further. Even the people who raise their voice on human rights violations of the Baloch people, like the <a href="https://www.dawn.com/news/1948443">leadership of Baloch Yekjehti Committee</a> (BYC) and their supporters, are sent behind bars.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The ruling elite remain deluded by the notion that the country’s strong military can help it to end the conflict in Balochistan. That is a grossly miscalculated assumption. Internal reports have time and again underlined the reality in Balochistan. Calling its 2025 report on Balochistan <em>Balochistan’s Crisis of Trust</em>, the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan (HRCP) had said <a href="https://x.com/HRCP87/status/1953044894559125932">in its press release</a> that “The mission’s findings reveal a disturbing pattern of continued enforced disappearances, shrinking civic space, erosion of provincial autonomy and unchecked impunity—conditions that continue to fuel public alienation and political instability.”&nbsp;</p>



<p>At a time when Islamabad is trying to promote an image of being a regional stabilising force and making efforts to bring the two warring factions in the US-led war against Iran to the negotiation table, the persisting internal instability and Islamabad’s approach towards Balochistan and the Baloch people expose its efforts to portray the country in a positive light.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Shorn of any credibility that it could utilise to overhaul the country’s image by overlooking conflict in Balochistan and security issues in general, the country’s leadership resorts to the practice of externalising the blame and accusing others of damaging its image.&nbsp;</p>



<p>In a recent statement, Pakistani Federal Minister for <a href="https://www.brecorder.com/news/40421285/pakistan-warns-of-foreign-narrative-campaign-against-regional-diplomacy">Information and Broadcasting Attaullah Tarar</a> issued a long statement on X: “We understand quite clearly that behind such stories are certain elements, mainly the detractors of peace, who are unable to come to terms with Pakistan’s role for peace in the region as well as Pakistan’s continued and successful fight against foreign-sponsored and abetted terrorism.” Tarar stated that it seems some elements could not digest the fact that Pakistan was playing a role in regional stability and making progress in eliminating terrorism.&nbsp;</p>



<p>Measures like the ones taken in Balochistan are a self-evident acknowledgement that the real situation in the province is worrying. Reality is that Balochistan remains Pakistan&#8217;s most deprived and poor province despite being rich in natural resources and having a long coastline. The poverty in Balochistan increased from 41.8 per cent in 2019 to <a href="https://www.thenews.pk/print/1400447-new-pbs-survey-shines-light-on-rise-of-poverty-in-pakistan">47 per cent in the Financial Year 2025</a>, way high above the national poverty rate of over 29 per cent.</p>



<p>In its efforts to woo foreign investment and overhaul its image, Pakistan is trying to sell the natural resources of Balochistan to the world. Lately, it has tried to woo the US to invest in the critical minerals of Balochistan, including copper. When Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshall Asim Munir presented rare earth minerals to President Donald Trump while on a visit to the US in October 2025, the <a href="https://www.dawn.com/news/1963118">Chief Secretary of Balochistan</a> said in a statement in December that “American and other companies are interested in investment in this mineral (antimony, among others), which is more precious than gold and copper.”&nbsp;</p>



<p>While the government is making ambitious efforts to entice foreign countries to invest and dig minerals from Balochistan, regional parties like the Balochistan National Party (BNP) have raised questions on the laws that allow the extraction of Balochistan&#8217;s resources.&nbsp;</p>



<p>The hard reality is that situation in Balochistan remains abysmal: use of force, threatening and arresting people like Mahrang Baloch and others. This will not resolve the Baloch problem; nor will it divert attention from the issue. The country needs concrete steps, acceptable to the Baloch people, to resolve the issue of continued Baloch resistance. </p>



<p>But the brutal use of force by the Pakistani state against the poorest province of Pakistan is unlikely to change in a country where the military&#8217;s domineering presence in politics remains strong. This will keep fuelling public apathy and disaffection in Balochistan and in the absence of any genuine and sincere approach by the state if Pakistan to resolve the issue of Baloch alienation, the situation in likely to aggravate further in the days to come.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not reflect Milli Chronicle’s point-of-view.</p>
</blockquote>
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			</item>
		<item>
		<title>Pakistan’s 27th Amendment: A Nuclear-Armed State in One Man’s Hands</title>
		<link>https://millichronicle.com/2025/11/60020.html</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Siddhant Kishore]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 30 Nov 2025 17:28:41 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Asia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asim Munir powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Baloch insurgency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chief of Defense Forces Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[India Pakistan tensions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Indo-Pak conflict]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military centralization Pakistan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear decision-making]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear escalation risks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan 27th Amendment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan authoritarianism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan China security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan civil-military relations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan constitutional amendment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan counterterrorism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan democracy crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan governance crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan internal security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan military dominance]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan military rule]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan national security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan nuclear arsenal control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan nuclear command]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan nuclear doctrine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan political instability]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pakistan strategic command]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Asia security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://millichronicle.com/?p=60020</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[What Pakistan has surrendered in return is the institutional balance that once provided guardrails against rash escalation. In Islamabad, history]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div class="wp-block-post-author"><div class="wp-block-post-author__avatar"><img alt='' src='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/1e27abc7b7a10b42436b6358f671a258?s=48&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g' srcset='https://secure.gravatar.com/avatar/1e27abc7b7a10b42436b6358f671a258?s=96&#038;d=mm&#038;r=g 2x' class='avatar avatar-48 photo' height='48' width='48' loading='lazy' decoding='async'/></div><div class="wp-block-post-author__content"><p class="wp-block-post-author__name">Siddhant Kishore</p></div></div>


<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>What Pakistan has surrendered in return is the institutional balance that once provided guardrails against rash escalation.</p>
</blockquote>



<p>In Islamabad, history did not turn with a coup or a populist uprising — it changed quietly, with the stroke of a pen. When Pakistan passed its <a href="https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/pakistans-army-chief-get-expanded-powers-under-proposed-reform-2025-11-10/">27th Constitutional Amendment</a>, there were no tanks in the streets, no suspended parliament broadcasts, no dramatic late-night speeches. The move was subtle, almost procedural. Yet, behind its legal language lies the most significant expansion of military authority in the country’s modern history. </p>



<p>While framed as a necessary reform to strengthen national security, the amendment fundamentally restructures Pakistan’s governance model by granting Field Marshal Asim Munir unprecedented authority over the state, the military, and—most critically—Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. </p>



<p>The legal elevation of Pakistan’s de facto ruler into a constitutionally untouchable position marks a turning point for a country whose political system has long been undermined by military dominance. Now, that dominance is not just entrenched—it is formalized.</p>



<p><strong>The Amendment That Institutionalizes Military Rule</strong></p>



<p>The 27th Amendment establishes a new position, the <a href="https://theprint.in/diplomacy/munirs-ascension-pakistan-military-supreme-commander-delayed-a-formality-caught-in-finer-details/2793929/">Chief of Defense Forces (CDF),</a> which consolidates command over the Army, Navy, and Air Force under Munir’s sole leadership. In doing so, it effectively <a href="https://m.economictimes.com/news/defence/cjcsc-gen-shamshad-mirza-retires-as-pakistan-reorganises-higher-defence-hierarchy/articleshow/125619337.cms">eliminates</a> the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Committee, the single institution responsible for balancing power across Pakistan’s tri-services. </p>



<p>Even more consequentially, the amendment grants <a href="https://m.economictimes.com/news/defence/cjcsc-gen-shamshad-mirza-retires-as-pakistan-reorganises-higher-defence-hierarchy/articleshow/125619337.cms">lifetime immunity</a> to five-star officers, placing Munir and future CDFs beyond legal accountability for both military and political decisions. Whereas past military rulers seized power through coups, Munir now commands Pakistan through the constitution itself.</p>



<p>Civilian leaders may occupy government buildings, but the reins of the state security, foreign policy, and strategic decision-making firmly rest with Pakistan’s most powerful general. Seizing power through the 27<sup>th</sup> Amendment serves two purposes for Munir. He gets to be the de facto leader of Pakistan’s civil-military regime under law, a privilege previous military dictators did not have, and secondly, Munir gets to save his face, standing up to the reputation of a “legitimate” leader, with whom foreign leaders would not hesitate to engage directly. </p>



<p><strong>A New Nuclear Command: First country to have a military leader in command of nuclear weapons</strong></p>



<p>Perhaps the most profound shift concerns nuclear oversight. The amendment introduces the position of <a href="https://thediplomat.com/2025/11/pakistan-entrenchment-of-the-pretorian-guard/">Commander of the National Strategic Command</a> (CNSC), a role directly under the CDF and responsible for all operational control of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal. Previously, the nuclear launch authority sat within the <a href="https://nautilus.org/napsnet/napsnet-special-reports/nuclear-command-control-and-communications-nc3-the-case-of-pakistan/">National Command Authority</a>, where both civilian and military leadership helped maintain a system of shared judgment. </p>



<p>Now, Munir commands the only finger on the button that matters.</p>



<p>This change shortens the chain of command in nuclear decision-making—something Pakistan justifies as necessary for deterrence against India. But a faster chain of command also reduces the time available for deliberation during crises, magnifying the risk of miscalculation. Moreover, placing nuclear authority solely under the Army eliminates institutional checks that are vital in a region marked by frequent militarized crises. </p>



<p>Such a move makes Pakistan the only nuclear country in the world where the sole command to authorize a strike rests with a military officer. Experts have <a href="https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/11/Launch-Authority.pdf">historically warned</a> that centralizing nuclear authority to a single military office poses serious dangers of weakened political oversight and increased risk of misperception and escalation. </p>



<p><strong>Can Military Centralization Fix Domestic Instability?</strong></p>



<p>Supporters argue that stronger centralized command is essential to confront Pakistan’s rapidly deteriorating internal security environment. Over 1,000 Pakistanis have been killed in <a href="https://minutemirror.com.pk/security-forces-conduct-62000-ops-in-2025-to-crush-terror-threat-457908/">terrorist incidents</a> this year, as the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), among other militant organizations, regain operational reach and recruits.</p>



<p>Simultaneously, Baloch separatists have intensified attacks against Chinese personnel and critical infrastructure—a trend that threatens Pakistan’s major economic partnerships. Munir’s response has focused not on reforming intelligence agencies or reforming counterinsurgency policies but on kinetic pressure<a href="https://www.hindustantimes.com/india-news/pakistan-blames-indian-proxies-afghanistan-for-terror-attacks-as-talibans-muttaqi-meets-jaishankar-101760151107417.html">: cross-border missile strikes</a> into Afghanistan, <a href="https://www.khaama.com/airstrike-in-khyber-pakhtunkhwa-kills-24-including-women-and-children/">collective punishment</a> in tribal districts, and <a href="https://www.millichronicle.com/2025/09/55696.html">crackdowns</a> on political dissent framed as counterterrorism. </p>



<p>These operations have failed to reduce militant capabilities. Instead, they have deepened local resentment and produced blowback in the form of increased militant recruitment.</p>



<p>The 27th Amendment gives Munir even more control over internal security, but it does not equip Pakistan with the governance tools needed to address the political grievances driving these insurgencies. Military rule may offer speed and force, but it cannot deliver legitimacy—or peace—on its own.</p>



<p><strong>India’s Deterrence Calculus Has Already Shifted</strong></p>



<p>For decades, Pakistan’s nuclear signaling deterred India from responding militarily to Pakistan-based militant attacks. That strategic reality has changed as India’s <a href="https://www.ucs.org/sites/default/files/attach/2017/11/Launch-Authority.pdf">ground and air operations</a> over the past decade demonstrate a willingness to escalate even under the shadow of nuclear weapons. </p>



<p>Pakistan’s low-threshold nuclear doctrine—threatening early first use if India attempts even limited operations—has therefore lost credibility in New Delhi.</p>



<p>Munir’s control over nuclear forces may accelerate crisis escalation rather than prevent it. With fewer voices involved in decision-making and a nuclear doctrine that encourages rapid activation, India may find itself forced to preempt or retaliate quickly in a future confrontation. </p>



<p>And in a region where crises often begin with terrorist attacks, Pakistan claims no responsibility for; the risk of miscalculation is not theoretical—it is imminent. As I have <a href="https://thebulletin.org/2025/11/the-illusion-of-deterrence-why-india-isnt-buying-pakistans-nuclear-threats/#post-heading">recently warned</a> in my analysis for the <em>Bulletin of Atomic Scientists</em>, a terror strike in New Delhi or Kashmir could rapidly transform into a conventional conflict fought under nuclear constraints, which neither state has truly tested.</p>



<p><strong>Conclusion: The Strategic Cost of Militarized Stability</strong></p>



<p>Pakistan’s leaders may believe that empowering the military is the only path to stability, especially amid political turbulence and economic crisis. But this amendment represents a paradox: a move justified in the name of security that may, in practice, make Pakistan—and the region—less secure. </p>



<p>Civilian authority is weakened, nuclear oversight is narrowed, internal grievances are unaddressed, and India’s evolving military posture further undermines Pakistan’s deterrent signaling. Munir now has the authority he has long operated with in practice. What Pakistan has surrendered in return is the institutional balance that once provided guardrails against rash escalation.</p>



<p>Pakistan is now a nuclear-armed country confronted by resurgent insurgencies, political instability, and hostile borders—yet governed by a security model that empowers one military commander with unchecked authority. The 27th Amendment does not strengthen Pakistan’s democracy or make nuclear war less likely. It does the opposite: it increases the speed of decision-making while decreasing the diversity of voices shaping those decisions. </p>



<p>As Pakistan enters this new era of legally sanctioned military supremacy, regional stability hinges on the judgment of a single leader commanding a nuclear arsenal built on a doctrine of early use. For a country defined by volatility, the future now balances on the narrowest margin imaginable.</p>



<blockquote class="wp-block-quote">
<p>Disclaimer: Views expressed by writers in this section are their own and do not reflect&nbsp;Milli Chronicle’s point-of-view.</p>
</blockquote>
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