Rupee steadies near record low as external pressures weigh

Mumbai — The Indian rupee hovered near its all-time low on Tuesday, pressured by elevated global oil prices and persistent demand for the U.S. dollar, even as it found brief support from likely central bank intervention and easing volatility.

The currency has come under strain amid rising geopolitical tensions that have disrupted energy markets, particularly around the Strait of Hormuz, a key transit route for crude supplies.

Higher oil import costs typically weigh on the rupee by widening India’s trade deficit and increasing dollar outflows.

Dealers said sustained demand for the U.S. dollar from importers, especially oil companies, has kept the rupee under pressure. Concerns over global inflation and tighter financial conditions have also supported the dollar, limiting gains in emerging market currencies.

Market participants pointed to uncertainty stemming from escalating conflict in the Middle East as a key driver behind risk aversion, prompting investors to shift toward safe-haven assets.

Traders said the Reserve Bank of India was likely present in the foreign exchange market to smooth volatility, helping the rupee avoid sharper losses. The central bank typically intervenes to curb excessive fluctuations rather than defend specific levels.

Analysts expect the rupee to remain sensitive to oil price movements and global risk sentiment in the near term, with any further escalation in geopolitical tensions likely to add to downward pressure.